The coefficient of determination R2 and intra-class correlation coefficient from generalized linear mixed-effects models revisited and expanded

Shinichi Nakagawa, P. Johnson, Holger Schielzeth · Journal of the Royal Society Interface · 2017 · statistics · 10.1098/rsif.2017.0213 · record nakagawa2017-the-coefficient-of-determination-r
tag layer · index · concepts · authors · עברית
Where this record's text came from. 2026-08-23 schema-0.3 pass: every quote verified as an exact substring of the staged text and anchored at merge time; concept terms verified present; every edge endpoint an existing node.
9 quotations on this page contain a reference number where the paper printed a superscript. This journal style prints citations as raised numerals — parameters12,13 — and the extraction flattened them into the line, so the sentence reads parameters 12 , 13 . The digits are citation markers and not part of what the author wrote. The quotes keep them for the same reason they keep every other extraction fault: a quote is reproduced exactly or it proves nothing.
How to read this page. The article itself is not reproduced here — this paper is not cleared for redistribution, so what follows is the tag layer alone. The evidence sentences are withheld with the article. The table at the foot lists every tag the record carries; each row names the facet it belongs to, and the whose words column says whether the tag records the paper's own wording or the tagger's sentence about the paper. Every tag links to each other paper in the corpus carrying it. The machine-readable edition of the same thing is the TEI file beside this one, where the tags live in standOff, and the article is at its publisher via the link below. When we have changed our mind. Some entries in the table begin with a word in capitals and the reason for it. EVIDENCE CORRECTED — the finding still stands, but we had quoted the wrong sentence from the paper, and the quotation has been replaced with the right one. RETRACTED — the entry itself was wrong; it stays on the page, marked, with the reason, rather than being deleted. WITHDRAWN AND REPLACED — the entry was wrong, and a corrected version of it appears in the entries below. Each mark carries its own reason, in brackets, because the reasons differ from one entry to the next. An entry we have WITHDRAWN is removed from this page and kept in the record, with its reason. A line reading Audit and a date is a later re-reading of the entry against its whole sentence: DOUBTFUL means it was kept, and the reason says what is loose about it. Quotation marks inside the tagger's sentence. Where a tag is the tagger's own sentence, a phrase in quotation marks inside it is borrowed from the paper — the tagger's wording around it is not. The paper's own sentence is the evidence quote for that row; on this page it is withheld with the article, and the article is at its publisher. Nothing inside quotation marks anywhere on this page is ours: if it is quoted, it is the paper's. Whose words a concept carries. A concept entry records a term the paper itself uses, so the term, the sense given for it, and its evidence are the paper's own words, quoted where the paper fixes them. This is the opposite of a sense entry in the tag table, which is the tagger's sentence about how the paper uses a term. Where a concept entry could not be grounded in the paper's words, the entry says so on its own row.
Other fields define these differently the same word, defined another way in another discipline
overdispersion 2 fields

Tags on this paper

Every tag the record carries, each linking to every other paper in the corpus that carries it. A tag appears here whether or not its words occur in the article — the spans below are only the ones a sentence in this paper licenses. Of the 6 concept tags on this paper, all 6 are grounded in a quoted sentence. All carry the tagger's gloss of what the term means in this paper, which is not something the article can license.
marginal R 2 conditional R 2 observation-level variance distribution-specific variance median mean coefficient of determination adjusted ICC overdispersion intra-class correlation coefficient formal-model
Method, as described: derivation plus comparison: three routes to the same variance term, checked against each other and against exact solutions where those exist, with worked examples in R

Legend

relation to other workclaim_relationshow this paper stands to another: agrees, contradicts, extends, qualifies
claim typeclaim_typethe shape of the claim: existence, mechanism, method, critique, prediction, null
concept edgeconcept_edgesan asserted relation between two concepts, with the sentence asserting it
conceptconceptsan idea the paper works with, quoted where the paper uses it
content tagcontent_tagsa finding, definition, quantity, statistic or variable named in the paper
contributioncontributionwhat the paper claims to add
controlcontrolsan experiment run to eliminate a rival explanation
limitationlimitationswhat the paper says its evidence cannot support
mechanismmechanismshow the reported effect is said to come about
methodmethodhow the paper produced its evidence
object of studyobject_of_studywhat the paper is about — the thing it investigates
phenomenonphenomenonthe effect or regularity under study
research questionresearch_questionthe question the paper sets itself
sensesensesa distinct use of a term, quoted where the paper fixes it

The paper

The full text is not reproduced here. This article is not cleared for redistribution, so the page carries the tag layer only. Its evidence sentences are withheld; the grounding status remains with each tag, and the article itself is at https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2017.0213. The reading view exists for the papers whose licence permits it.

Every tag on this page

claim_relations 2 · claim_type 1 · concept_edges 3 · concepts 6 · content_tags 13 · contribution 1 · controls 3 · limitations 3 · mechanisms 10 · method 1 · object_of_study 1 · phenomenon 1 · research_question 1 · senses 5

Relations on this page carry a quotation for the claim. Where a relation was separately evidenced — and so tested against the vocabulary for its type — the row says so; 3 of 3 relations here carry that mark. The rest are the tagger’s reading of the sentence quoted beside them.

facettagfieldconf.whose words
object_of_studyWHAT A STATISTIC MEANS WHEN THE MODEL GETS COMPLICATED - R-squared and the intra-class correlation for generalized linear mixed models, revisited by the authors of the previous definition and extended to families their own method could not reach
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
object_of_studythe paper's words
research_questionhow to define the residual variance term that R-squared needs, when for most distributional families it CANNOT BE SEPARATED into the components the earlier definition assumed
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
research_questionthe paper's words
contributiona general definition of the observation-level variance for non-Gaussian GLMMs via the delta method, the lognormal approximation or the trigamma function - plus a correction to two of their own earlier recommendations
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
contributionthe paper's words
claim_typemethod
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
claim_typethe paper's words
phenomenonone of the most-reported numbers in science, with no single definition once the model has random effects
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
phenomenonthe paper's words
methodformal-model
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: formal-model
methodthe paper's words
mechanismsA NAMING RULE - WHEN A MODIFIER IN A NAME IS LICENSED: `In such a case, the ICC should not be called `ADJUSTED`. For an ICC value to be adjusted for a source of variance, that variance must be more than 0 and omitted from the ICC calculation.` A published condition on the use of one word inside a statistic's name - the same shape as buck2011's rule for when two fields may share an acronym, one level down
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[0]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND ONE NAME FOR TWO QUANTITIES, KEPT APART BY A SUBSCRIPT: `MARGINAL AND CONDITIONAL R2 differ only in whether the random effect variance is included in the numerator` - the marginal is the proportion explained by the fixed effects, the conditional by fixed AND random. Two numbers a reader will see reported as `R2`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[1]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND A RENAMING WHERE THE NOTATION DELIBERATELY DOES NOT FOLLOW: `We refer to this generalized version ... as `THE OBSERVATION-LEVEL VARIANCE` here rather than the residual variance (but we keep the notation). Note that the observation-level variance should not be confused with the variance associated with OLRE, which ... can be considered to be A PART OF it.` The name changes, the symbol does not, and the sentence that renames it also warns which neighbouring term it is not
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[2]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND THE EARLIER DEFINITION WORKED ONLY FOR TWO SPECIAL CASES, SAID PLAINLY: `obtaining for specific distributions is not always possible, because in many families of GLMMs, (observation-level variance) cannot be clearly separated into (overdispersion variance) and (distribution-specific variance). It turns out that binomial and Poisson distributions are special cases where can be usefully calculated ... This is not the case for other families.` The general method was a special case and the authors are the ones who found out
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[3]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND A DISTINCTION THE AUTHORS WITHDRAW FOR ONE FAMILY AND KEEP FOR ANOTHER: `In the past, we distinguished between ICC on the latent scale and on the observation scale. Such a distinction turns out to be strictly appropriate only for binomial distributions but not for Poisson distributions (and probably also not for other non-Gaussian distributions).` A retraction with its scope stated, including the part they are only probably right about
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[4]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND THEY NAME WHAT THEY USED TO CALL IT: `note that we would have called 1/lambda THE DISTRIBUTION-SPECIFIC VARIANCE` - the same quantity, the old name, and the new one, in a parenthesis. The corpus has papers that rename things and papers that correct things; this one prints the substitution table
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[5]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND THE NAMING CHOICE MOVES EVERY REPORTED NUMBER, IN A KNOWN DIRECTION: `the MINIMUM VALUE of 1/(p(1-p)) IS 4, which is larger than pi^2/3 = 3.29, meaning that the use of 1/p(1-p) IN R2 and ICC for binary data will always produce larger values than those using pi^2/3.` Which term you call the denominator decides whether every R2 in a literature is larger or smaller - not a range, a DIRECTION, with a floor. And Browne et al. observed exactly that
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[6]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND TWO OF THEIR OWN EARLIER RECOMMENDATIONS CONTRADICT EACH OTHER: `In our earlier papers, we proposed to use the exponential of the intercept ... WE ALSO SUGGESTED that it is possible to use the mean of observed values. Unfortunately, these two recommendations are often inconsistent with each other.` Two ways to compute one input, from one paper, that disagree
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[7]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND THE REASON IS THAT ONE OF THEM ESTIMATES A DIFFERENT LOCATION ENTIRELY: `In fact, exp(beta0) gives the median value of y rather than the mean ... Thus, the use of exp(beta0) will often OVERESTIMATE, providing SMALLER ESTIMATES OF R2 AND ICC ... when lambda is small, the difference can be substantial so the choice of the method needs to be reported for reproducibility.` A methods choice promoted to a reporting requirement because the two answers differ
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[8]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsAND THREE ROUTES REACH ONE QUANTITY AND AGREE ONLY ABOVE A THRESHOLD: `ln(1 + 1/lambda) (LOGNORMAL APPROXIMATION), 1/lambda (DELTA METHOD APPROXIMATION) and (TRIGAMMA FUNCTION) GIVE SIMILAR RESULTS WHEN LAMBDA IS GREATER THAN 2. Our recommendation is to use the trigamma function.` Three names, one target, and a condition under which the choice stops mattering
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[9]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsTHEIR OWN APPROXIMATION IS NOT THE BEST ONE, AND THEY SAY SO: `A comparison among equations (6.7)-(6.9) is also shown in electronic supplementary material, appendix S3 (it turns out equation (6.8) gives the best approximation). Simulation will give the most accurate conversions when no exact solutions are available.` Equation 6.7 is theirs; 6.8 is McCulloch et al.'s
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[0]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsAND A NEIGHBOURING STATISTIC IS ADMITTED INTO THE FAMILY WITH A HEDGE IN PARENTHESES: the trigamma function has been used for `heritability (which can be seen as a type of ICC although in a strict sense, it is not)`. A kindhood claim and its denial in eleven words - the corpus's `is-a` cannot carry that, so it is here in prose
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[1]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsand one field renames the statistic outright: `a type of ICC is often referred to as repeatability R, where the grouping factor is often individuals that have been phenotyped repeatedly` - ecology and evolution's name for what the rest of the literature calls an intra-class correlation
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[2]0.95the tagger's words
controlsderiving the same observation-level variance three independent ways - delta method, lognormal approximation, trigamma function - and comparing them
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: a variance term that is an artefact of one derivation; they agree when lambda > 2 and the trigamma is recommended where it applies · outcome: held
controls[0]0.95the tagger's words
controlscomparing their own bias-correction approximation against McCulloch et al.'s and Zeger et al.'s, and against simulation
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: recommending their own formula without testing it - and the test says somebody else's is better · outcome: failed
controls[1]0.95the tagger's words
controlsrequiring that the method used to obtain lambda be reported
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: two papers reporting 'R2' from the same data and the same model with different numbers, because they estimated lambda differently · outcome: partial
controls[2]0.95the tagger's words
conceptsmarginal R 2
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: marginal R 2
concepts[0]0.95the paper's words
conceptsconditional R 2
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
concepts[1]0.95the paper's words
conceptsobservation-level variance
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
concepts[2]0.95the paper's words
conceptsdistribution-specific variance
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
concepts[3]0.95the paper's words
conceptsmedian
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: median
concepts[4]0.95the paper's words
conceptsmean
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: mean
concepts[5]0.95the paper's words
senses`marginal R2` - the proportion of total variance explained by the FIXED effects only; `conditional R2` - by fixed AND random. They `differ only in whether the random effect variance is included in the numerator`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[0]0.95the tagger's words
senses`observation-level variance` (this paper) - the generalized residual term, explicitly renamed `rather than the residual variance` while KEEPING THE NOTATION, and not to be confused with the variance of an observation-level random effect
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[1]0.95the tagger's words
senses`distribution-specific variance` - what 1/lambda would have been called in the authors' earlier papers; kept as a separate concept for binomial distributions and declared not analogous
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[2]0.95the tagger's words
senses`repeatability R` (ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION) - a type of intra-class correlation where the grouping factor is individuals measured repeatedly
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[3]0.95the tagger's words
senses`adjusted ICC` - and the condition on the word: an ICC may only be called adjusted if the variance it is adjusted for is `MORE THAN 0 AND OMITTED FROM THE CALCULATION`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[4]0.95the tagger's words
claim_relationsextends → the authors' own earlier definitions of R2_GLMM and ICC_GLMM (Nakagawa & Schielzeth 2013; Nakagawa, Johnson & Schielzeth), which covered only binomial and Poisson families - 'It turns out that binomial and Poisson distributions are special cases'
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
claim_relations[0]0.95the tagger's words
claim_relationscontradicts → their own earlier distinction between ICC on the latent scale and on the observation scale, which 'turns out to be strictly appropriate only for binomial distributions but not for Poisson distributions'
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
claim_relations[1]0.95the tagger's words
concept_edgesmarginal R 2 —distinct-from→ conditional R 2
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
the relation itself is separately evidenced · strength of the relation: 0.95 · note: 'As MARGINAL AND…' One name for two numbers, kept apart by a subscript a reader may not carry across papers · the relation stated: the two differ ONLY in whether the random-effect variance is in the numerator - and both are reported as 'R2'
concept_edges[0]0.95the tagger's words
concept_edgesobservation-level variance —distinct-from→ distribution-specific variance
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
the relation itself is separately evidenced · strength of the relation: 0.95 · note: 'ARE ANALOGOUS…' The authors previously called one of these by the other's name - 'note that we would have called 1/lambda THE DISTRIBUTION-SPECIFIC VARIANCE' - and the edge records the distinction they drew afterwards · the relation stated: the two observation-level variances are analogous to each other and the distribution-specific variance is not - which is why the term was renamed
concept_edges[1]0.95the tagger's words
concept_edgesmedian —distinct-from→ mean
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
the relation itself is separately evidenced · strength of the relation: 0.95 · note: 'In fact, exp(beta0) gives the median value of y rather than the mean of y, assuming a Poisson distribution. Thus, the use of exp(beta0) will often overestimate, providing smaller estimates of R2 AND ICC ... when lambda is small, the difference can be substantial so the choice of the method needs to be reported for reproducibility.' A textbook distinction with a reporting requirement attached to it · the relation stated: exp(beta0) estimates the MEDIAN where the formula requires the MEAN, so using it systematically shrinks R2 and ICC
also in: median · mean
concept_edges[2]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsA PUBLISHED CONDITION ON A WORD INSIDE A STATISTIC'S NAME: `the ICC should not be called `ADJUSTED` ... that variance must be more than 0 and omitted from the ICC calculation`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsAND A RENAMING WHERE THE NOTATION DELIBERATELY DOES NOT FOLLOW: `we refer to this generalized version ... as `THE OBSERVATION-LEVEL VARIANCE` here rather than the residual variance (but we keep the notation)`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[1]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsAND THE AUTHORS NAME WHAT THEY USED TO CALL IT: `note that we would have called 1/lambda THE DISTRIBUTION-SPECIFIC VARIANCE`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[2]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsAND THE NAMING CHOICE MOVES EVERY NUMBER IN A KNOWN DIRECTION: `the minimum value of 1/(p(1-p)) IS 4, which is larger than pi^2/3 = 3.29, meaning that the use of 1/p(1-p) IN R2 and ICC for binary data will always produce larger values`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[3]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsthe authors' two earlier recommendations for estimating lambda, exp(beta0) and the mean of observed values, are often inconsistent
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[4]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsAND A DISTINCTION WITHDRAWN FOR ONE FAMILY AND KEPT FOR ANOTHER: `Such a distinction turns out to be strictly appropriate only for binomial distributions but not for Poisson distributions (and probably also not for other non-Gaussian distributions)`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[5]0.95the tagger's words
content_tags`quantifies the proportion of variance explained by a statistical model` - and `ESTIMATING R2 FOR GENERALIZED LINEAR MIXED MODELS REMAINS CHALLENGING`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.definitions[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tags`For an ICC value to be adjusted for a source of variance, that variance must be more than 0 and omitted from the ICC calculation` - otherwise `the ICC should not be called `ADJUSTED``
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: adjusted ICC
content_tags.definitions[1]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsso the choice of term makes every R2 and ICC for binary data larger or smaller, in a fixed direction
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.quantities[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsbelow that the delta method, lognormal approximation and trigamma function diverge
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.quantities[1]0.95the tagger's words
content_tags`Simulation will give the most accurate conversions when no exact solutions are available`
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.quantities[2]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsthe proportion of variance explained by a grouping factor - called `repeatability R` in ecology and evolution, and a statistic whose `adjusted` variant carries a published condition on the word
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.statistics[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsthe excess variation the residual term was supposed to separate out - and which `cannot be clearly separated` from the distribution-specific part in most families
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.variables[0]0.95the tagger's words

Interpretive choices

Tags that could not be placed in the text:

What was deliberately not tagged, and why, is recorded per paper by the tagger. Where a paper has no such record, this page says so rather than implying that nothing was declined.

© 2026 Shir Sivroni · ORCID 0009-0000-2597-2824