Evolutionary Genetics of Human Enterovirus 71: Origin, Population Dynamics, Natural Selection, and Seasonal Periodicity of the VP1 Gene

Kok Keng Tee, Tommy Tsan‐Yuk Lam, Yoke Fun Chan, Jon M. Bible, Adeeba Kamarulzaman, C. Y. William Tong, Yutaka Takebe, Oliver G. Pybus · Journal of Virology · 2010 · evolutionary-virology · 10.1128/jvi.01019-09 · record tee2010-evolutionary-genetics-of-human-ent
tag layer · index · concepts · authors · עברית
Where this record's text came from. faceted 2026-08 by reading the locally held text (html); every evidence string verified as an exact substring of that text before merging. The extraction is a PMC page: the long author/affiliation block and the site chrome sit below the ARTICLE TEXT marker, so quoting was restricted to the abstract, body and discussion. Spacing inside citation and figure references is an artefact of the HTML-to-text conversion ('( 73 )', '( n = 628)') and has been preserved verbatim in the quotes. The two claim relations cite prior work by reference number rather than by author name, but the relational language ('less statistically appropriate ... previously used', 'consistent with previous analyses') is explicit, so they were kept; purely numbered citations without such language were not turned into relations. Claim type is existence (the paper establishes that these lineages and dynamics occurred); its selection analysis is closer to a null-result, since positive selection was largely absent, which the single-value facet cannot record. 2026-08-12, 2026-08-15 and 2026-08-25 schema-0.3 passes: every quote verified as an exact substring of the staged text and anchored at merge time; concept terms verified present; every edge endpoint an existing node.
11 quotations on this page contain a reference number where the paper printed a superscript. This journal style prints citations as raised numerals — parameters12,13 — and the extraction flattened them into the line, so the sentence reads parameters 12 , 13 . The digits are citation markers and not part of what the author wrote. The quotes keep them for the same reason they keep every other extraction fault: a quote is reproduced exactly or it proves nothing.
How to read this page. The article itself is not reproduced here — this paper is not cleared for redistribution, so what follows is the tag layer alone. The evidence sentences are withheld with the article. The table at the foot lists every tag the record carries; each row names the facet it belongs to, and the whose words column says whether the tag records the paper's own wording or the tagger's sentence about the paper. Every tag links to each other paper in the corpus carrying it. The machine-readable edition of the same thing is the TEI file beside this one, where the tags live in standOff, and the article is at its publisher via the link below. When we have changed our mind. Some entries in the table begin with a word in capitals and the reason for it. EVIDENCE CORRECTED — the finding still stands, but we had quoted the wrong sentence from the paper, and the quotation has been replaced with the right one. RETRACTED — the entry itself was wrong; it stays on the page, marked, with the reason, rather than being deleted. WITHDRAWN AND REPLACED — the entry was wrong, and a corrected version of it appears in the entries below. Each mark carries its own reason, in brackets, because the reasons differ from one entry to the next. An entry we have WITHDRAWN is removed from this page and kept in the record, with its reason. A line reading Audit and a date is a later re-reading of the entry against its whole sentence: DOUBTFUL means it was kept, and the reason says what is loose about it. Quotation marks inside the tagger's sentence. Where a tag is the tagger's own sentence, a phrase in quotation marks inside it is borrowed from the paper — the tagger's wording around it is not. The paper's own sentence is the evidence quote for that row; on this page it is withheld with the article, and the article is at its publisher. Nothing inside quotation marks anywhere on this page is ours: if it is quoted, it is the paper's. Whose words a concept carries. A concept entry records a term the paper itself uses, so the term, the sense given for it, and its evidence are the paper's own words, quoted where the paper fixes them. This is the opposite of a sense entry in the tag table, which is the tagger's sentence about how the paper uses a term. Where a concept entry could not be grounded in the paper's words, the entry says so on its own row.
Other fields define these differently the same word, defined another way in another discipline
coefficient of variation 4 fields · bootstrap 2 fields · confidence interval 2 fields · positive selection 2 fields · recombination 2 fields

Tags on this paper

Every tag the record carries, each linking to every other paper in the corpus that carries it. A tag appears here whether or not its words occur in the article — the spans below are only the ones a sentence in this paper licenses. Of the 27 concept tags on this paper, 1 are grounded in a quoted sentence. All carry the tagger's gloss of what the term means in this paper, which is not something the article can license.
enterovirus 71 VP1 hand, foot, and mouth disease genogroup subgenogroup coxsackievirus A16 Picornaviridae molecular clock relaxed molecular clock Bayesian skyline plot coalescent Markov chain Monte Carlo genetic diversity purifying selection positive selection antigenic drift trunk terminal branches ladder-like temporal strain replacement cryptic recombination immunogenic influenza poliovirus toggling seroprevalence Epidemic cycles may be driven demographically rather than antigenically: susceptible children accumulate through birth until a threshold density is crossed, which then triggers large-scale transmission. The trunk-versus-terminal dN/dS gap is produced by strong purifying selection acting on all lineages combined with transient deleterious mutations that accumulate on terminal branches and are then removed. Retaining glutamic acid at the exposed, potentially immunogenic VP1 position 98 is what allows a lineage to persist long-term; lineages that substitute it die out. Because VP1 is surface-exposed and targeted by host neutralizing antibodies, it is subjected to constant immune selective pressure that can drive adaptive change in the capsid. secondary trunk lineages ladder-like tree structure core trunk enterovirus species A ratio of nonsynonymous substitutions to synonymous substitutions relative viral genetic diversity VP1 gene sequences substitution rate tMRCA nucleotide substitution model demographic model likelihood ratio test a likelihood ratio test (LRT) with one degree of freedom Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo the Bayesian MCMC method implemented in BEAST bootstrap multiple-comparison correction (Bonferroni) coefficient of variation posterior probability confidence interval Bayes factor maximum likelihood Maximum-likelihood analyses gamma-distributed among-site rate variation dN/dS dN / dS likelihood ratio test (LRT) Bonferroni correction Bonferroni-corrected P value cutoff credible interval maximum-likelihood (ML) Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) p-value phylogenetic-analysis
Method, as described: phylogenetic-analysis

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second readingalternativesan independent re-reading of a facet, recorded whether or not it agrees
relation to other workclaim_relationshow this paper stands to another: agrees, contradicts, extends, qualifies
claim typeclaim_typethe shape of the claim: existence, mechanism, method, critique, prediction, null
concept edgeconcept_edgesan asserted relation between two concepts, with the sentence asserting it
conceptconceptsan idea the paper works with, quoted where the paper uses it
content tagcontent_tagsa finding, definition, quantity, statistic or variable named in the paper
controlcontrolsan experiment run to eliminate a rival explanation
limitationlimitationswhat the paper says its evidence cannot support
mechanismmechanismshow the reported effect is said to come about
methodmethodhow the paper produced its evidence
object of studyobject_of_studywhat the paper is about — the thing it investigates
phenomenonphenomenonthe effect or regularity under study
research questionresearch_questionthe question the paper sets itself
sensesensesa distinct use of a term, quoted where the paper fixes it
transfertransfersa method or concept carried in from another field

The paper

The full text is not reproduced here. This article is not cleared for redistribution, so the page carries the tag layer only. Its evidence sentences are withheld; the grounding status remains with each tag, and the article itself is at https://doi.org/10.1128/jvi.01019-09. The reading view exists for the papers whose licence permits it.

Every tag on this page

alternatives 3 · claim_relations 6 · claim_type 1 · concept_edges 9 · concepts 1 · content_tags 82 · controls 1 · limitations 9 · mechanisms 10 · method 1 · object_of_study 1 · phenomenon 1 · research_question 1 · senses 8 · transfers 2

Relations on this page carry a quotation for the claim. Where a relation was separately evidenced — and so tested against the vocabulary for its type — the row says so; none of 9 relations here carry that mark. The rest are the tagger’s reading of the sentence quoted beside them.

facettagfieldconf.whose words
object_of_studyThe VP1 capsid gene of human enterovirus 71, read across 628 global sequences spanning four decades, as a record of the virus's origin, spread and selection.
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object_of_studythe paper's words
research_questionWhen did human enterovirus 71 originate, how have its subgenogroups emerged and spread, and is the VP1 capsid gene under positive selection?
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research_questionthe paper's words
claim_typeexistence
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claim_typethe paper's words
phenomenonevolutionary dynamics of enterovirus 71 VP1 gene
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phenomenonthe paper's words
methodphylogenetic-analysis
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methodthe paper's words
mechanismsmechanisms
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[0]the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[1]the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[2]the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[3]the tagger's words
mechanismsSubgenogroups circulate at low prevalence for years before detection, so the date of common ancestry precedes the first isolation by 1 to 5 years
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mechanisms[4]the tagger's words
mechanismsRises in genetic diversity track epidemics because new subgenogroups emerging is what drives the diversity up
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mechanisms[5]the tagger's words
mechanismsPurifying selection dominates the whole gene while a few exposed sites show positive selection, so the genome-wide and per-site pictures point opposite ways
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mechanisms[6]the tagger's words
mechanismsTerminal branches carry a higher dN/dS than trunk branches because deleterious mutations appear at the tips and are removed before reaching the trunk
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mechanisms[7]the tagger's words
mechanismsGlutamic acid at VP1 position 98 is repeatedly lost on terminal lineages and never on the trunk, suggesting its loss ends lineages rather than propagating
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mechanisms[8]the tagger's words
mechanismsAn alternative to antigenic escape: susceptibles accumulate by birth until a density threshold is crossed, which would produce the same periodicity without immune-driven evolution
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mechanisms[9]the tagger's words
limitationsThe available sequence diversity may make the estimated date of origin too recent; more archival sequencing is needed.
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what this limits: the estimated date of origin: WE CANNOT AT PRESENT EXCLUDE THE POSSIBILITY THAT CURRENTLY AVAILABLE VIRUS DIVERSITY MAY UNDERESTIMATE THE DATE OF EV-71 ORIGIN
limitations[0]the tagger's words
limitationsThe divergence dates apply only to VP1 and may not hold for other genome regions, because recombination occurs outside VP1.
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what this limits: every divergence date reported: OUR DIVERGENCE DATES SHOULD BE CONSIDERED SPECIFIC TO VP1 AND MAY NOT BE APPLICABLE TO OTHER GENOME regions, because recombination is reported outside VP1
limitations[1]the tagger's words
limitationsWhether the observed diversity translates into antigenic escape in humans is not established by this work.
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what this limits: the vaccine and cross-protection implications: THE DEGREE OF CROSS-PROTECTION [in humans] is not established here, only in animal models
limitations[2]the tagger's words
limitationsThe sampled diversity may be too shallow to reach the true origin, so the dates could be too recent
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duplicate of: limitations[0] · what this limits: the same scope as limitations[0] - the sampled diversity may be too shallow to reach the origin
limitations[3]the tagger's words
limitationsThe dates apply to VP1 only, because recombination is absent here but reported elsewhere in the genome
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what this limits: the same scope as limitations[1] - VP1 only
limitations[4]the tagger's words
limitationsWhether antigenic evolution drives the observed cycles is left open, and the competing explanation is not tested
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what this limits: the antigenic-evolution explanation of the epidemic cycles: WHETHER ANTIGENIC EVOLUTION IS IMPORTANT IN CAUSING THESE CYCLES IS A KEY AREA OF UNCERTAINTY
limitations[5]the tagger's words
limitationsThe trunk-versus-terminal selection difference rests on a p-value just above the conventional threshold
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what this limits: the trunk-versus-terminal selection difference, and read the number not the adjective: the paper calls it A SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER DN/DS RATIO and prints (P = 0.055)
limitations[6]the tagger's words
limitationsSequences were down-sampled by hand to keep the computation tractable, which is a judgement about what counts as redundant
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what this limits: every date and tree in the paper: TO REDUCE EXCESSIVE COMPUTATIONAL LOAD, CLOSELY RELATED SEQUENCES ... WERE MANUALLY REMOVED - a hand judgement about what counts as redundant, upstream of all of it
limitations[7]the tagger's words
limitationsCross-protection between subgenogroups, on which the vaccine implications depend, is unmeasured
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what this limits: the same scope as limitations[2] - cross-protection between subgenogroups is unmeasured in humans
limitations[8]the tagger's words
transfersInfluenza phylodynamics - the reading of a ladder-like phylogeny as the signature of antigenic drift - applied to EV-71, together with an explicit statement of where the analogy may fail
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transfers[0]the tagger's words
transfersInfluenza vaccine strategy offered as the template for EV-71 vaccine design, conditional on EV-71 turning out to drift antigenically
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transfers[1]the tagger's words
controlsall VP1 sequences screened for recombination with the Recombination Detection Program under both default and adjusted settings
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eliminates: recombination masquerading as phylogenetic signal - a recombinant sequence puts two histories in one alignment and the tree that results is neither · outcome (stated by the tagger, no quotation): held
controls[0]0.85the tagger's words
conceptsPicornaviridae
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concepts[6]0.85the paper's words
sensesbranch - core trunk: root to the most recent common ancestor of the latest isolates, the lineage that survived
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senses[0]1.0the tagger's words
sensesbranch - secondary trunk: lineages branching off the core trunk that persist an intermediate 4 to 9 years
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senses[1]1.0the tagger's words
sensesbranch - terminal: tip branches, whose mutations are transient and absent at later time points
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senses[2]1.0the tagger's words
sensesemergence - estimated time of common ancestry, inferred from the molecular clock rather than observed
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senses[3]1.0the tagger's words
sensesemergence - date of first isolation, which is when someone looked, not when the lineage began; the gap between the two senses IS the paper's central finding
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senses[4]1.0the tagger's words
sensesselection - genome-wide purifying: mean dN/dS far below 1 across the whole VP1 gene in every subgenogroup
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senses[5]1.0the tagger's words
sensesselection - site-specific positive: individual codons under positive selection, coexisting with purifying selection over the gene as a whole
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senses[6]1.0the tagger's words
sensesgenetic diversity - relative (g) reconstructed through time by the skyline plot, not a count of observed sequences
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senses[7]1.0the tagger's words
alternativesclaim_type: existence
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a second reading reaching the same value. Recorded: existence — note: a second reading reaching the same value from a different sentence. Not applied - a person decides.
alternatives.claim_typethe tagger's words
alternativesmethod: phylogenetic-analysis
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a second reading reaching the same value. Recorded: phylogenetic-analysis — note: a second reading reaching the same value from a different sentence. Not applied - a person decides.
alternatives.methodthe tagger's words
alternativesphenomenon: evolutionary dynamics of enterovirus 71 VP1 gene
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a second reading reaching the same value. Recorded: evolutionary dynamics of enterovirus 71 VP1 gene — note: a second reading reaching the same value from a different sentence. Not applied - a person decides.
alternatives.phenomenonthe tagger's words
claim_relationscontradicts → earlier EV-71 substitution-rate estimates obtained by linear regression (reference 11)
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claim_relations[0]the tagger's words
claim_relationsreplicates → previous analyses of recombination in human enterovirus species (reference 73)
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claim_relations[1]the tagger's words
claim_relationsextends → earlier EV-71 substitution rate estimates made by linear regression
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claim_relations[2]the tagger's words
claim_relationssupports → the comparative finding that trunk branches carry lower dN/dS than terminal branches across RNA viruses
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claim_relations[3]the tagger's words
claim_relationssupports → the influenza A finding that rises in genetic diversity accompany epidemics
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claim_relations[4]the tagger's words
claim_relationssupports → Bible and colleagues on cell culture having negligible effect on VP1 sequence
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claim_relations[5]the tagger's words
concept_edgesenterovirus 71 —part-of→ Picornaviridae
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strength of the relation: 1
concept_edges[0]the tagger's words
concept_edgessubgenogroup —part-of→ genogroup
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strength of the relation: 1
concept_edges[1]the tagger's words
concept_edgesVP1 —part-of→ enterovirus 71
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strength of the relation: 1 Audit 2026-09-28: DOUBTFUL - read against its full span and kept, but the span writes 'EV-71'; endpoint abbreviated.
also in: VP1 · enterovirus 71
concept_edges[2]the tagger's words
concept_edgespurifying selection —contrasted-with→ positive selection
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strength of the relation: 1 Audit 2026-09-28: DOUBTFUL - read against its full span and kept, but the span writes 'negative selection' against others' 'positive selection'; endpoint variant.
concept_edges[4]the tagger's words
concept_edgestrunk —contrasted-with→ terminal branches
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strength of the relation: 1
concept_edges[6]the tagger's words
concept_edgesgenetic diversity —operationalised-as→ Bayesian skyline plot
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strength of the relation: 1
concept_edges[7]the tagger's words
concept_edgessubgenogroup —causes→ genetic diversity
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strength of the relation: 0.8
concept_edges[8]the tagger's words
concept_edgesRETRACTED (NEITHER ENDPOINT IS NAMED IN ITS OWN SPAN) · antigenic drift —causes→ ladder-like
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RETRACTED: NEITHER ENDPOINT IS NAMED IN ITS OWN SPAN. The edge is 'antigenic drift --causes--> ladder-like'; the span reads: Quotation withheld, with limited genetic diversity at any one time. It says this process, not antigenic drift, and the strongly temporal shape, not ladder-like. A span that names neither endpoint cannot assert a relation between them - the criterion's plainest case - and it is compounded by has been linked to, which is both relational and attributed to other work. WHAT THE SPAN DOES SAY: nothing about these two terms, so nothing is kept. would reject this edge today; it predates the rule. — strength of the relation: 0.5 — the record marks this weak Audit 2026-09-28: DOUBTFUL - read against its span and kept, but antigenic drift has been linked to temporal phylogeny shapes; causes is loose.
concept_edges[10]the tagger's words
concept_edgesenterovirus 71 —contrasted-with→ influenza
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strength of the relation: 1 Audit 2026-09-28: DOUBTFUL - read against its full span and kept, but endpoint by anaphora: 'Both phylogenies' = subgenogroup C1 isolates and influenza virus A (previous sentence).
concept_edges[12]the tagger's words
content_tagslikelihood ratio test
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content_tags.statistics[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsBayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo
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content_tags.statistics[1]the tagger's words
content_tagsbootstrap
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also in: bootstrap
content_tags.statistics[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsmultiple-comparison correction (Bonferroni)
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content_tags.statistics[3]the tagger's words
content_tagscoefficient of variation
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content_tags.statistics[4]the tagger's words
content_tagsposterior probability
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content_tags.statistics[5]the tagger's words
content_tagsconfidence interval
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content_tags.statistics[6]the tagger's words
content_tagsBayes factor
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also in: Bayes factor
content_tags.statistics[7]the tagger's words
content_tagsmaximum likelihood
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content_tags.statistics[8]the tagger's words
content_tagsgamma-distributed among-site rate variation
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content_tags.statistics[9]the tagger's words
content_tagsdN/dS
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also in: dN/dS
content_tags.statistics[10]the tagger's words
content_tagslikelihood ratio test
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content_tags.statistics[11]the tagger's words
content_tagsBayes factor
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also in: Bayes factor
content_tags.statistics[12]the tagger's words
content_tagsBonferroni correction
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content_tags.statistics[13]the tagger's words
content_tagscredible interval
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content_tags.statistics[14]the tagger's words
content_tagsconfidence interval
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content_tags.statistics[15]the tagger's words
content_tagscoefficient of variation
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content_tags.statistics[16]the tagger's words
content_tagsposterior probability
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content_tags.statistics[17]the tagger's words
content_tagsmaximum likelihood
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content_tags.statistics[18]the tagger's words
content_tagsbootstrap
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also in: bootstrap
content_tags.statistics[19]the tagger's words
content_tagsMarkov chain Monte Carlo
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content_tags.statistics[20]the tagger's words
content_tagsp-value
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also in: p-value
content_tags.statistics[21]the tagger's words
content_tagsThe common ancestor of human enterovirus 71 is dated to about 1941, after which the virus split into genogroups B, C and the now-extinct genogroup A.
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content_tags.findings[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsEach subgenogroup of genogroups B and C circulated undetected in humans for up to five years before it caused a large hand, foot and mouth disease outbreak.
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content_tags.findings[1]the tagger's words
content_tagsThe VP1 gene evolves under strong purifying selection, with mean dN/dS between 0.029 and 0.075 in every subgenogroup except B3.
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content_tags.findings[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsIn subgenogroup C1 the trunk lineages have a lower dN/dS (0.030) than the terminal lineages (0.064), the opposite of the pattern expected under antigenic-drift-style positive selection along the trunk.
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content_tags.findings[3]the tagger's words
content_tagsNo homologous recombination was detectable in the capsid-encoding VP1 region, so the phylogenetic and dating analyses are not confounded by recombination.
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content_tags.findings[4]the tagger's words
content_tagsRises in viral genetic diversity coincide with epidemic onsets and are driven partly by the appearance of new subgenogroups.
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content_tags.findings[5]the tagger's words
content_tagsVP1 codon 98 changed repeatedly and unidirectionally (glutamic acid to lysine or glycine) on terminal branches but never on trunk branches, so lineages that acquired the change did not persist.
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content_tags.findings[6]the tagger's words
content_tagsA demographic model of exponential population growth fits the VP1 data far better than a constant-population-size model.
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content_tags.findings[7]the tagger's words
content_tagsSeveral trunk residues toggled back and forth over time: position 145 went glutamic acid to glutamine and back, 262 isoleucine to valine and back, and 289 alanine to threonine and back.
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content_tags.findings[8]the tagger's words
content_tagsSubgenogroups B1 to B5, C1, C2 and C4 are globally distributed, whereas C3 is confined to Korea and C5 to Vietnam.
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content_tags.findings[9]the tagger's words
content_tagsThe VP1 gene evolves at about 4.2 to 4.6 x 10^-3 substitutions per site per year, higher than earlier linear-regression estimates.
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content_tags.findings[10]the tagger's words
content_tagsChoice of coalescent demographic model made no significant difference to the estimated divergence dates.
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content_tags.findings[11]the tagger's words
content_tagsthe common ancestor of EV-71 dates to about 1941
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content_tags.findings[12]the tagger's words
content_tagseach subgenogroup circulated undetected for 1 to 5 years before its first outbreak
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content_tags.findings[13]the tagger's words
content_tagsthe same subgenogroup in different countries reflects separate lineages, not one strain travelling
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content_tags.findings[14]the tagger's words
content_tagsVP1 evolves under strong purifying selection despite substitution rates comparable to influenza and HIV-1
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content_tags.findings[15]the tagger's words
content_tagstrunk lineages carry a lower dN/dS than terminal lineages in subgenogroup C1
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content_tags.findings[16]the tagger's words
content_tagsposition 98 changes repeatedly on terminal lineages and never on the trunk, and the changes are directional
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content_tags.findings[17]the tagger's words
content_tagsamino acids toggle - changing and reverting - on the core trunk over 3 to 5 year spans
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content_tags.findings[18]the tagger's words
content_tagsonly 14 nonsynonymous substitutions occur on the trunk, at 10 sites
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content_tags.findings[19]the tagger's words
content_tagsno recombination was detectable in VP1
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content_tags.findings[20]the tagger's words
content_tagsreconstructed diversity dynamics match four decades of independent surveillance data
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content_tags.findings[21]the tagger's words
content_tagsexponential growth fits the data better than constant population size
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content_tags.findings[22]the tagger's words
content_tagsC3 and C5 are geographically restricted while the other subgenogroups are cosmopolitan
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content_tags.findings[23]the tagger's words
content_tagsoutbreaks recur on a roughly 2 to 3 year cycle
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content_tags.findings[24]the tagger's words
content_tagsterminal branches
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content_tags.definitions[0]the tagger's words
content_tagssecondary trunk lineages
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content_tags.definitions[1]the tagger's words
content_tagsladder-like tree structure
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content_tags.definitions[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsantigenic drift
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content_tags.definitions[3]the tagger's words
content_tagscore trunk
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also in: core trunk
content_tags.definitions[5]the tagger's words
content_tagsBayesian skyline plot
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content_tags.definitions[6]the tagger's words
content_tagsrelaxed molecular clock
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content_tags.definitions[7]the tagger's words
content_tagstoggling
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also in: toggling
content_tags.definitions[8]the tagger's words
content_tagsenterovirus species A
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content_tags.definitions[9]the tagger's words
content_tagsratio of nonsynonymous substitutions to synonymous substitutions
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content_tags.variables[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsrelative viral genetic diversity
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content_tags.variables[3]the tagger's words
content_tagsVP1 gene sequences
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content_tags.variables[4]the tagger's words
content_tagssubstitution rate
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content_tags.variables[5]the tagger's words
content_tagstMRCA
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also in: tMRCA
content_tags.variables[6]the tagger's words
content_tagsnucleotide substitution model
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content_tags.variables[9]the tagger's words
content_tagsdemographic model
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content_tags.variables[10]the tagger's words
content_tags628 — Number of complete VP1 gene sequences with known collection dates analysed, effectively all reported EV-71 VP1 genes as of mid-2008
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content_tags.quantities[0]the tagger's words
content_tags1941.0 (95% CR, 1928.8 to 1952.2) — Estimated date of origin of EV-71 as a descendant of coxsackievirus A16
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content_tags.quantities[1]the tagger's words
content_tags229 and 251 — Sizes of the down-sampled genogroup B and C alignments used for the Bayesian MCMC analyses
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content_tags.quantities[2]the tagger's words
content_tags0.030 ± 0.009 ... 0.064 ± 0.008 ( P = 0.055) — dN/dS on trunk versus terminal lineages of subgenogroup C1, and the significance of the difference
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content_tags.quantities[3]the tagger's words
content_tags14 ... 10 — Number of nonsynonymous substitutions observed on subgenogroup C1 trunk branches and the number of distinct sites at which they occurred
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content_tags.quantities[4]the tagger's words
content_tagsevery 2 to 3 years — Observed periodicity of EV-71 outbreaks
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content_tags.quantities[5]the tagger's words
content_tags145 ( P < 0.05), 98 ( P < 0.05), 237, and 241 ( P < 0.05) — VP1 codon positions detected as being under positive selection in well-sampled subgenogroups
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content_tags.quantities[6]the tagger's words
content_tagsabout 3 to 5 years — Length of time a toggled residue persisted on the core trunk branches before reverting
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content_tags.quantities[7]the tagger's words
content_tags1 to 5 years — Lag between the date of common ancestry of a genogroup C subgenogroup and its first identification
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content_tags.quantities[8]the tagger's words
content_tags628 — VP1 sequences analysed, essentially every one then reported
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content_tags.quantities[9]the tagger's words
content_tags1941.0 (95% CR, 1928.8 to 1952.2) — the estimated origin of EV-71, decades before its first isolation in 1969
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content_tags.quantities[10]the tagger's words
content_tags4.5 × 10 −3 to 4.6 × 10 −3 — substitutions per site per year in genogroup B
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content_tags.quantities[11]the tagger's words
content_tags0.029 to 0.075 — the range of mean dN/dS across subgenogroups, all far below 1
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content_tags.quantities[12]the tagger's words
content_tags2 to 5 years — how long genogroup B subgenogroups circulated before causing large outbreaks
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content_tags.quantities[13]the tagger's words
content_tags20 million states — the MCMC chain length, sampled every 10,000
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content_tags.quantities[14]the tagger's words
content_tags229 and 251 sequences — the down-sampled genogroup B and C data sets actually used for the clock analysis
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content_tags.quantities[15]the tagger's words
content_tagsapproximately 7,400 bases — the EV-71 genome length
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content_tags.quantities[16]the tagger's words
content_tagsevery 2 to 3 years — the apparent outbreak periodicity the discussion tries to explain
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content_tags.quantities[17]the tagger's words
content_tags1969 — first isolation of EV-71, nearly three decades after the inferred origin
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content_tags.quantities[18]the tagger's words

Interpretive choices

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