Current accounts of antimicrobial resistance: stabilisation, individualisation and antibiotics as infrastructure — TEI-tagged view

Clare I. R. Chandler · 2019 · anthropology · doi:10.1057/s41599-019-0263-4 · TEI xml · tagged edition · index · concepts · authors
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Other fields define these differently the same word, defined another way in another discipline
One Health 3 fields · antibioticsterm·key 2 fields · behaviour change 2 fields
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AMR actuarial approach sentinel approach One Health5 behaviour change4 infrastructure3 inversion2 medicalisation interpretive24

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Palgrave Communications<title level="j">A work — the journal / venue title.
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Clare I. R. ChandlerpersName (2019date). “Current accounts of antimicrobial resistance: stabilisation, individualisation and antibiotics as infrastructure.” Palgrave Communicationstitle·j.

Object of study — the construction of antimicrobial resistanceterm·key as a global healthterm·key problem in science and policy discourse

Research question — how AMRterm·dom has been constructed as a problem, and what the dominant framings leave out

Contribution — three accounts of AMRterm·dom - stabilised as a threat, framed as connectedness but solved individually, and antibioticsterm·key as infrastructureterm·dom

Cross-disciplinary analysis
content-tags & facets: phenomenon · claim-type · cross-domain-transfer · mechanism · claim-relation · replication-status · limitation — grounded in the full text
phenomenonthe framing of antimicrobial resistance as a threat addressed through individual behaviour — “The paper suggests that AMR presents an opportunity to take seriously connections, scale and systems but that this effort is undermined by the prevailing tendency to reduce health issues to matters for individual responsibility.”
claim-typecritique — “The paper suggests that AMR presents an opportunity to take seriously connections, scale and systems but that this effort is undermined by the prevailing tendency to reduce health issues to matters for individual responsibility.”
method — evidence — “The primary inspiration for the approach is a Foucauldian discourse analysis”
object of study — evidence — “This paper explores the construction of AMR as a problem, following three lines of analysis.”
research question — evidence — “This paper explores the construction of AMR as a problem, following three lines of analysis.”
contribution — evidence — “This leads to the proposal of antibiotics as infrastructure—part of the woodwork that we take for granted, and entangled with our ways of doing life, in particular modern life.”
mechanismindividualisation The focus on individual behaviour obscures the connectedness the One Health framing establishes. — “The first is the narrative that explains AMR as a One Health problem, building a growing number of sectors into the definition of the problem, and therefore as points to locate solutions. The second is recourse to established rhetoric and instruments of behaviour change for formulating solutions. While the first strengthens new paths of connection between sectors, between humans and ‘nature’, and between the local and the global, I argue that the second obscures this understanding of connectedness by foregrounding individual responsibility for the AMR phenomenon.”mechanisms[0]
mechanisminfrastructural inversion AMR renders antimicrobials visible where they had been part of the woodwork. — “The present moment of antimicrobial resistance as a major topic of global concern can be understood to represent a moment of inversion—when antimicrobials have been rendered visible where previously they have been a part of the woodwork.”mechanisms[1]
senseAMR - a term with no easy common definition, as numerous as drug-bug combinations — “The above description demonstrates the multiplicity of AMR (Mol, 2002 ); definitions of AMR could be as numerous as drug-bug combinations exist, articulated in clinical, microbiological and molecular registers.”senses[0]
senseinfrastructure - antibiotics as part of the woodwork, taken for granted until rendered visible — “This leads to the proposal of antibiotics as infrastructure—part of the woodwork that we take for granted, and entangled with our ways of doing life, in particular modern life.”senses[1]
sensethreat - AMR stabilised in the future tense, to be acted upon in anticipation — “Nonetheless, it has been possible to evoke projections of AMR—of what it might be—and therefore to stabilise it as a threat in the future tense, that must be acted upon in anticipation.”senses[2]
relationactuarial approach —contrasted-with→ sentinel approach — while — “the paper illustrates that while an ‘actuarial’ approach to AMR may be challenging to stabilise due to definitional and logistical issues, it has been successfully stabilised through a ‘sentinel’ approach that emphasises the threat of AMR”concept_edges[0]
weightactuarial approach —contrasted-with→ sentinel approach — 0.75 — “the paper illustrates that while an ‘actuarial’ approach to AMR may be challenging to stabilise due to definitional and logistical issues, it has been successfully stabilised through a ‘sentinel’ approach that emphasises the threat of AMR”concept_edges[0]
relationOne Health —contrasted-with→ behaviour change — While the first ... the second obscures — “The first is the narrative that explains AMR as a One Health problem, building a growing number of sectors into the definition of the problem, and therefore as points to locate solutions. The second is recourse to established rhetoric and instruments of behaviour change for formulating solutions. While the first strengthens new paths of connection between sectors, between humans and ‘nature’, and between the local and the global, I argue that the second obscures this understanding of connectedness by foregrounding individual responsibility for the AMR phenomenon.”concept_edges[1]
weightOne Health —contrasted-with→ behaviour change — 0.8 — “The first is the narrative that explains AMR as a One Health problem, building a growing number of sectors into the definition of the problem, and therefore as points to locate solutions. The second is recourse to established rhetoric and instruments of behaviour change for formulating solutions. While the first strengthens new paths of connection between sectors, between humans and ‘nature’, and between the local and the global, I argue that the second obscures this understanding of connectedness by foregrounding individual responsibility for the AMR phenomenon.”concept_edges[1]
replicationnot-applicable
limitationThe analysis is informed by the author's own position in AMR science and policy. — “The analysis is informed by my own immersion in the field of AMR science and policy, as a researcher and as co-Director of the AMR Centre at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.”limitations[0]
limitationHow far antibiotics replaced material infrastructure for disease control is less directly studied. — “To what extent antibiotics replaced or reshaped the material infrastructure in maintaining disease control has been less directly studied.”limitations[1]
Content tags
content-observations: finding · quantity · variable · definition · key-term — grounded in the full text
findingAMR has no easy common definition. — “Although AMR is a commonly used term, it is not easy to create a common definition.”content_tags.findings[0]
findingThe scale of the AMR problem is inferred rather than known. — “The scale of the AMR problem is inferred rather than known, even in relatively high resource settings.”content_tags.findings[1]
findingStabilising AMR through actuarial accounts met definitional, technical and resource challenges. — “In summary, stabilising AMR through actuarial accounts has been met with definitional, technical and resource challenges.”content_tags.findings[2]
findingReports on AMR lack quantification while emphasising a certain threat. — “Quantification of the current scale or nature of the AMR problem is notably absent; reports allude to the ‘lack of data’ whilst emphasising a ‘certain threat’.”content_tags.findings[3]
findingThe fight against AMR can be read as a fight for modernity. — “Thus the fight against AMR can be read as much as a fight for modernity.”content_tags.findings[4]
findingBehaviour change of individuals is frequently cited as a key AMR solution despite the One Health framing. — “Given this rhetoric of AMR as a One Health issue, advocating for recognition of complexity and connectedness that requires a multi-sectoral response, it is curious then to observe that the behaviour change of individuals is so frequently cited as a key solution to AMR.”content_tags.findings[5]
findingAntibiotics enable the current tempo of life. — “We become aware that antibiotics enable the current tempo of life—indexed to productivity and consumption, and entwined as much with moral as financial economies.”content_tags.findings[6]
findingAntibiotics as infrastructure resists the micro/macro division of existing discourse. — “I propose that to explore antibiotics as infrastructure resists the micro/macro division implied in existing discourse, rather operating in a mode of entanglement.”content_tags.findings[7]
definitionAMR — “Broadly, it is used to describe a phenomenon of microbial organisms becoming less susceptible to the antimicrobial medicines used to eliminate or control them.”content_tags.definitions[0]
definitionmedicalisation — “medicalisation—the encroachment of biomedicine into areas hitherto conceived as outside of the medical domain”content_tags.definitions[1]
definitioninfrastructure — “In this sense, antimicrobials can be considered as infrastructure—as usable systems that disappear unless deliberately explicated.”content_tags.definitions[2]
key-termsantimicrobial resistance, AMR, One Health, behaviour change, infrastructure, antibiotics, discourse analysis, sentinel, global health, medicalisation
Concepts
terms this paper carries, each with the sentence it was cut from — the layer that joins one paper to another. Terms with no quote yet are on CONCEPTS.html.
conceptAMR — a phenomenon of microbial organisms becoming less susceptible to the antimicrobial medicines used to eliminate or control them — “Broadly, it is used to describe a phenomenon of microbial organisms becoming less susceptible to the antimicrobial medicines used to eliminate or control them.”concepts[0]
conceptactuarial approach — He contrasts this with the more established ‘actuarial’ style of reasoning that justifies action through the statistical calculation of risk, projecting the past into the future. — “the paper illustrates that while an ‘actuarial’ approach to AMR may be challenging to stabilise due to definitional and logistical issues, it has been successfully stabilised through a ‘sentinel’ approach that emphasises the threat of AMR”concepts[1]
conceptsentinel approach — Lakoff ( 2015 , 2017 ) proposes the concept of the ‘sentinel device’ to describe the way that public health threats have come to be responded to—requiring vigilant attention and speculative intervention for a surprise and potentially catastrophic event. — “the paper illustrates that while an ‘actuarial’ approach to AMR may be challenging to stabilise due to definitional and logistical issues, it has been successfully stabilised through a ‘sentinel’ approach that emphasises the threat of AMR”concepts[2]
conceptOne Health — understanding drivers of AMR as located within and between agricultural, human health and environmental domains — “This means understanding drivers of AMR as located within and between agricultural, human health and environmental domains.”concepts[3]
conceptbehaviour change — not defined in this paper's own words — “The first is the narrative that explains AMR as a One Health problem, building a growing number of sectors into the definition of the problem, and therefore as points to locate solutions. The second is recourse to established rhetoric and instruments of behaviour change for formulating solutions. While the first strengthens new paths of connection between sectors, between humans and ‘nature’, and between the local and the global, I argue that the second obscures this understanding of connectedness by foregrounding individual responsibility for the AMR phenomenon.”concepts[4]
conceptinfrastructure — usable systems that disappear unless deliberately explicated — “In this sense, antimicrobials can be considered as infrastructure—as usable systems that disappear unless deliberately explicated.”concepts[5]
conceptinversion — when antimicrobials have been rendered visible where previously they have been a part of the woodwork — “The present moment of antimicrobial resistance as a major topic of global concern can be understood to represent a moment of inversion—when antimicrobials have been rendered visible where previously they have been a part of the woodwork.”concepts[6]
conceptmedicalisation — the encroachment of biomedicine into areas hitherto conceived as outside of the medical domain — “medicalisation—the encroachment of biomedicine into areas hitherto conceived as outside of the medical domain”concepts[7]

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Current accounts of antimicrobial resistanceterm·key: stabilisation, individualisation and antibioticsterm·key as infrastructureterm·dom Abstract Antimicrobial resistanceterm·key (AMRterm·dom) is one of the latest issues to galvanise political and financial investment as an emerging global healthterm·key threat. This paper explores the construction of AMRterm·dom as a problem, following three lines of analysis. First, an examination of some of the ways in which AMRterm·dom has become an object for action—through defining, counting and projecting it. Following Lakoff’s work on emerging infectious diseases, the paper illustrates that while an ‘actuarial’ approach to AMRterm·dom may be challenging to stabilise due to definitional and logistical issues, it has been successfully stabilised through a ‘sentinelterm·key’ approach that emphasises the threat of AMRterm·dom. Second, the paper draws out a contrast between the way AMRterm·dom is formulated in terms of a problem of connectedness—a ‘One Healthterm·dom’ issue—and the frequent solutions to AMRterm·dom being focused on individual behaviour. The paper suggests that AMRterm·dom presents an opportunity to take seriously connections, scale and systems but that this effort is undermined by the prevailing tendency to reduce health issues to matters for individual responsibility. Third, the paper takes AMRterm·dom as a moment of infrastructural inversionterm·dom (Bowker and Star) when antimicrobials and the work they do are rendered more visible. This leads to the proposal of antibioticsterm·key as infrastructureterm·dom—part of the woodwork that we take for granted, and entangled with our ways of doing life, in particular modern life. These explorations render visible the ways social, economic and political frames continue to define AMRterm·dom and how it may be acted upon, which opens up possibilities for reconfiguring AMRterm·dom research and action.

Introduction ‘Due to antimicrobial resistanceterm·key, many achievements of the twentieth century are being gravely challenged, in particular: the reduction in illness and death from infectious diseases achieved through social and economic development; access to health services and to quality, safe, efficacious and affordable medicines; hygiene, safe water and sanitation; disease prevention in community and health-care settings, including immunisation; nutrition and healthy food; improvements in human and veterinary medicine; and the introduction of new antimicrobial and other medicines’ (Item 4, Draft Political Declaration on AMRterm·dom, United Nations General Assembly, 2016 ) Reports of infections that are non-responsive to first-line antimicrobials have increased. Concern over resistance of the microbes causing these infections to the drugs used to treat them has expanded as awareness of the absence of replacement medicines has risen (Tripartite Collaboration on AMRterm·dom, 2016 ). As the field of antimicrobial resistanceterm·key (AMRterm·dom) research, policy and action grows, what patterns of knowledge and ways of knowing are shaping conceptual possibilities and boundaries? If these systems of thought and knowledge are explicated, how might the boundaries of these epistemes be pushed?

Sensitive to the controversy around the science of climate change (Pearce et al., 2018 ), those engaged with AMRterm·dom advocacy have been careful to develop a ‘political narrative’ (Global Healthterm·key Security Agenda, 2016 ) that comprises consistent messaging and a coherent voice within a science-policy complex. The collaboration across the ‘tripartite’ of the World Health Organisation (WHO), Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) and the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE) has been commended as providing a platform for successful intervention across UN member states (Inter Agency Coordination Group on AMRterm·dom Consultation, 2018 ). An indicator of success of getting AMRterm·dom onto the political agenda was the high-level discussion of AMRterm·dom at the United Nations Global Assembly in 2016, resulting in a political declaration (United Nations General Assembly, 2016 ), and the appointment of an Inter-agency Coordination Group (IACG) on AMRterm·dom which seeks to generate a common direction across sectors, industry and nations globally. This effort has been credited with enabling strong global consensus on the problem of AMRterm·dom and has garnered political will to address the threat (Rochford et al., 2018 ). Industry leaders in pharmaceuticals and diagnostics have become partners in the fight against AMRterm·dom (Wellcome Trust, 2017 ), articulated for example in a Davos declaration (AMRterm·dom Industry Alliance, 2016 ). The successful generation of this collective commitment is said to hinge on the use of common language (Mendelson et al., 2017 ) combined with a shared approach and set of concerns (Inter Agency Coordination Group on AMRterm·dom, 2017 ).

While AMRterm·dom has been successfully established as a priority on the global stage, AMRterm·dom champions repeatedly voice concern over the ‘implementation challenge’ of translating political commitment into action (Wells et al., 2017 , UK Department of Health, 2017 ). Thus far, standardised frameworks and tools are promoted for country-level implementation, but ‘there is still much more that needs to be done’ (Inoue and Minghui, 2017 ). Discourse analysisterm·key can explicate to the way AMRterm·dom has been stabilised and mobilised as an object, can bring to the fore consequences of the way the AMRterm·dom problem has been framed, and can open up other ways to attend to the constellation of issues represented by AMRterm·dom.

Approach In this paper I intend to bring to the fore aspects of the AMRterm·dom agenda that are taken for granted and deemed self-evident as research, policy and action has been taking shape. The primary inspiration for the approach is a Foucauldian discourse analysisterm·key, through which the object of AMRterm·dom is explored in how it is represented and how it is practiced—treating discourse ‘as practices that systematically form the objects of which they speak’ (Foucault, 1972, p. 49). AMRterm·dom might usefully be considered such an object of discursive formation, contingent upon relations ‘between institutions, economic and social processes, behavioural patterns, systems of norms, techniques, types of classification, modes of characterisation’ (p. 45). To trace AMRterm·dom in this way then develops analysis that understands it as an object that emerges in relation to particular rationalities, juxtaposed with other objects that define its difference.

Recognising the global nature of the AMRterm·dom discourse, the numerous institutions, connections and imperatives can be considered to comprise a ‘global assemblage’, hanging together under the umbrella of AMRterm·dom (Ong and Collier, 2005 ). In attending to this emergent ‘thing’ of AMRterm·dom, I follow the move to consider diseases as socio-materially co-constructed entities, whose form is enacted in multiple ways, inspired by the work of Mol ( 2002 ). This sets the scene for my own understanding of what AMRterm·dom is, which is then built upon by observing the discourse in ‘the AMRterm·dom Community’ (an entity reified within the Community of scientists, policy and public/global healthterm·key practitioners) through analytical lenses borrowed principally from Lakoff ( 2017 ), Rose ( 2001 ) and Bowker and Star ( 2000 ).

Through this analysis, I present three current accounts of antimicrobial resistanceterm·key (AMRterm·dom) as it has emerged in relation to particular priorities and formulations of science and policy. First, I focus on the challenges of stabilising AMRterm·dom as an object through traditional definitions and counting, and explore the way that projection of AMRterm·dom as a threat seems to have been more effective for stabilising this object. Second, I juxtapose two core features of the AMRterm·dom risk discourse—the One Healthterm·dom paradigm, and the behavioural model of intervention—drawing attention to a paradox in AMRterm·dom as a problem of connectedness to be solved by individualised action. Third, I develop an account of AMRterm·dom that conceives of antibioticsterm·key as infrastructureterm·dom, opening-up alternative paths for exploring this emergent field.

The analysis draws from a range of material that includes published scientific and policy literature, scientific conference presentations and interviews and discussions with scientists and policy makers. The analysis is informed by my own immersion in the field of AMRterm·dom science and policy, as a researcher and as co-Director of the AMRterm·dom Centre at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.

Ethical approval for the fieldwork in this study was granted by the LSHTM Observational Ethics Committee, reference numbers 11598 and 15244.

Stabilising antimicrobial resistanceterm·key as a threat ‘There is a gesture often used to describe the antimicrobial resistanceterm·key (AMRterm·dom) problem—an inflection of the hand tracing a curve like the up-side of a mountain. At a meeting of scientists, a journalist asks, ‘How afraid should we be of AMRterm·dom?’. This gesture provides the answer. At an AMRterm·dom policy event, a civil servant is making the case for investment in AMRterm·dom, he makes the gesture. I ask a medical doctor in a low-income country, ‘what is your experience of AMRterm·dom where you practice?’. The same gesture. I see it repeating in settings of science, policy and practice around the globe. I can’t find the curve drawn out in the scientific literature, but we have a shared understanding that this is the shape of the curve. The gesture stands in place of data, communicating the need for response. It mirrors the ‘hockey stick curve’ deployed in the 2014–2015 Ebola response (Kelly, 2018 ), implicitly connecting the two crises. How has this shared understanding of the AMRterm·dom threat been brought into being?’ Fieldnotes London 15 and East Africa 12, 2018 Lakoff ( 2015 , 2017 ) proposes the concept of the ‘sentinelterm·key device’ to describe the way that public health threats have come to be responded to—requiring vigilant attention and speculative intervention for a surprise and potentially catastrophic event. He contrasts this with the more established ‘actuarial’ style of reasoning that justifies action through the statistical calculation of risk, projecting the past into the future. Actuarial devices work in a world where threats can become known through accumulation of epidemiological risk data and application of cost-effectiveness analyses to guide intervention. By contrast, sentinelterm·key devices work in a world where a dangerous future cannot be known through calculation and a precautionary mode is required to guide intervention. Observing the way topics in global healthterm·key now often follow the speculative turn in finance, hedging on ‘potential’ rather than ‘likely’ events, affects the orientation of action including flows of both public and private finance. In each case, a distinct set of logics connects through particular modelling approaches that render financial, health and other (see also disaster and development discourses) paths for action more, and less, inevitable.

Here I will explore the way that the actuarial approachterm·mth to AMRterm·dom continues to be a strong part of AMRterm·dom research and implementation agendas—to come to know where AMRterm·dom is, how much there is and points for control—but that the definitional and technical challenges inherent to this complex category mean that this is challenging to stabilise as an object through this lens. By applying the logic of the sentinelterm·key, or speculative, device, it becomes possible to see how AMRterm·dom has become stabilised on the global stage as a threat, and rendered amenable to particular forms of action—and investment.

The actuarial approachterm·mth: defining and counting AMRterm·dom Histories of AMRterm·dom identify waves of political enthusiasm in the topic. The troughs between the waves have been attributed to complacency (Podolsky, 2018 ) but also to the complexity of the challenge of understanding and responding to this biologically inevitable and remarkably diverse issue (Wells et al., 2017 ). Attempts to stabilise AMRterm·dom through actuarial accounts, in order to act upon it as an issue, have been challenged by difficulties in defining what AMRterm·dom is, and in being able to count it.

Although AMRterm·dom is a commonly used term, it is not easy to create a common definition. Broadly, it is used to describe a phenomenon of microbial organisms becoming less susceptible to the antimicrobial medicines used to eliminate or control them. This phenomenon is described in bacteria, fungi, parasites and viruses (see, e.g., Fisher et al., 2018 ; Dondorp et al., 2009 ; Keshavjee and Farmer, 2012 ; Laxminarayan et al., 2013 ; Baggaley et al., 2010 ). Amongst bacteria alone, the term AMRterm·dom describes a wide range of species and strains which develop or acquire different characteristics that render medicines less effective. Mechanisms described as conferring antibioticterm·key resistance vary widely, including enzyme production that inactivates the drug; modification of drug targets sites, preventing binding; reduction of permeability to the drug; production of alternative metabolic pathways that bypass the drug’s target pathway; and the use of various pumps to export antibioticsterm·key or prevent the drug from reaching a bacterial intracellular target (Kapoor et al., 2017 ). A given bacteria may have evolved a resistance mechanism or may have acquired it through transfer of genetic material from another bacteria of the same or even another species (Gillings, 2017 ). When an antibioticterm·key is unable to act upon a bacteria because of that organism’s physical characteristics, this is also termed resistance, this time ‘intrinsic’ (Neu, 1992 ). The term AMRterm·dom therefore accommodates a variety of microbial and genetic activity, even just within bacterial AMRterm·dom. Similarly there are numerous registers for recognising AMRterm·dom. Clinically, AMRterm·dom may be recognised if a patient’s infection does not clear after an antibioticterm·key expected to impact that infection is taken. Microbiologically, AMRterm·dom may be recognised if bacteria that are grown from a sample and plated on agar in a laboratory are unaffected when an antibioticterm·key is introduced. Molecularly, AMRterm·dom may be recognised from the presence of a genetic sequence that has previously been typed as conferring drug resistance may be identified in a bacterial sample, or in a faecal, soil, water or other sample. And the ways we have come to understand resistance have evolved together with laboratory technology (Gradmann, 2013 ). When we talk of increasing resistance, then, we may be referring to an increase in clinical cases that are hard to treat, increase in identification of a particular bacteria with resistance to a particular drug, a bacteria resistant to a particular group of similar action drugs, a bacteria resistant to a range of drug types, or an increase in identification of a particular piece of genetic material. To complicate things further, carriage of any of these bacteria may or may not cause disease in the short or long term for the human carrier. And the existence of such bacteria in the metabiome—matter outside of humans—may also be ‘friendly’ or not. Therefore, while bacteria with a particular ability to resist particular antibioticsterm·key may be common in a given context, the frequency of infection caused by such bacteria may be low (Stenehjem and Rimland, 2013 ). Finally, while a bug may be resistant to a particular drug, it may be responsive to other drugs, requiring categories of ‘extremely drug resistant’ and ‘pan resistant’ infections.

The above description demonstrates the multiplicity of AMRterm·dom (Mol, 2002 ); definitions of AMRterm·dom could be as numerous as drug-bug combinations exist, articulated in clinical, microbiological and molecular registers. Nonetheless, AMRterm·dom needs to be counted in order to demonstrate its relative importance (Adams, 2016 ). A key commitment from UN Member states has been to set up surveillance on AMRterm·dom. Once AMRterm·dom can be counted then it is possible to account for action upon it. This mirrors Foucault’s proposition of the role of statistics in shaping public health (Foucault, 2008 ). Currently, however there is limited data on AMRterm·dom—in any of its possible definitions—outside of well-resourced tertiary care settings or research studies. The WHO ( 2017 ) AMRterm·dom surveillance report demonstrated the paucity of data around the globe that count AMRterm·dom (World Health Organization, 2017 ). It also demonstrated the heterogeneity in what is captured between countries under AMRterm·dom. The multiplicity within the term AMRterm·dom may explain why it has been difficult to define indicators to capture its prevalence in a meaningful way across species, medicines and settings. Existing surveillance systems typically collate microbiology data of isolates from hospital patients. A key challenge in counting AMRterm·dom is to expand such surveillance globally, and beyond the hospital setting. At the moment, estimates of the AMRterm·dom burden in LMICs is derived through a series of extrapolations—for example the proportion of neonatal sepsis deaths attributable to drug resistant infection, estimated as 214,500 in 2012, based on an expected proportion of all neonatal deaths attributable to severe infection, and of those, attributable to a drug resistant infection to the first line treatment (Laxminarayan et al., 2016 ). Even with planned investment in laboratory capacity for microbiology, from the UK’s Fleming Fund, the US Centres for Disease Control and others, surveillance is unlikely to expand beyond a reference site model in most low resource settings (Seale et al., 2017 ), leaving population levels of AMRterm·dom, and clinical impact of drug resistance relatively unknown. The scale of the AMRterm·dom problem is inferred rather than known, even in relatively high resource settings. In the US, around 25,000 excess deaths have been associated with AMRterm·dom yearly, but even there it is accepted that ‘such estimates depend heavily on the type of included infections and resistance mechanisms, and the extrapolating techniques used’. (Pires et al., 2017 ). When looking at finely grained patient data, a review of 15 years of data from 2001 in Marseille, France, found that extremely drug resistant bacteria—where bacteria were resistant to more than two antibioticsterm·key—were uncommon (37 of 27,681 inpatient bacterial infections) and of these cases four cases died, three attributable to other causes (Abat et al., 2017 ). However, the stark contrast in incidence of infection between this setting and many LMICs leaves the question open as to transferability of these findings across settings.

Generating capacity for AMRterm·dom surveillance is a clear priority. However, this will take substantial time, and resources. Predicting the course of AMRterm·dom is argued as key to prepare for the potential crisis. Even with good data, however, the trajectory of resistance has been shown to be non-linear, dependent on drug-bug combination but also context. When the Marseille group reviewed hospital data over 15 years from 2001 to look at trends in AMRterm·dom (Abat et al., 2017 ), they found that MRSA actually decreased, and there were no changes in levels of vancomycin or imipenem resistance in clinically important bacteria. With antibioticterm·key stewardship, drug resistant infection has been found to decrease in some hospital settings (Baur et al., 2017 ), although the relationship is not always so clear, as susceptibility does not always rebound after drug pressure is reduced (Burke, 1998 ). Thus, the future direction of ‘AMRterm·dom’ as a collective category is hard to predict on a granular level.

In summary, stabilising AMRterm·dom through actuarial accounts has been met with definitional, technical and resource challenges. In the places where we do have figures, they are relatively small compared with other health concerns. In order to propel AMRterm·dom to a global political stage, and to compete with other disease that have gained attention and funding on a large scale, AMRterm·dom has required a different form of articulation.

The sentinel approachterm·mth: projecting AMRterm·dom We have seen that AMRterm·dom is difficult to define in the singular; the phenomenon captures multiple processes, bugs and drugs. We have also seen that it is difficult to count, both because of its multiplicity and due to resource and technical limitations. Nonetheless, it has been possible to evoke projections of AMRterm·dom—of what it might be—and therefore to stabilise it as a threat in the future tense, that must be acted upon in anticipation.

An increasing number of public, private and multilateral institutions have now published reports on AMRterm·dom. A familiar structure can be observed in each, through which AMRterm·dom is described as a major health threat, driven by antibioticterm·key overuse, and a description of the consequences of AMRterm·dom and set of solutions is then outlined. Quantification of the current scale or nature of the AMRterm·dom problem is notably absent; reports allude to the ‘lack of data’ whilst emphasising a ‘certain threat’. The UK Government-commissioned O’Neill Review on AMRterm·dom provided a projection that, if left unchecked, 10 million people would die per year from AMRterm·dom by 2050 (O’Neill, 2014 ). While the science behind these figures has been contested (de Kraker et al., 2016 ), and many openly recognise the figures as of more political than scientific value, the figures have been widely used across science and policy, including as ‘underestimates’. In their follow-up book, O’Neill and colleagues provide images of the shape of the curve that AMRterm·dom impact could take into the future – although this is in economic rather than morbidity or mortality terms (Hall et al., 2018 ). The authors echo a dominant sentiment in the field that ‘we should always try to improve predictions but we should take action now.’ This sentiment of the need for action regardless of the accuracy of the threat is common across AMRterm·dom discourse, for example when arguing for more investment into AMRterm·dom monitoring architecture, Wernli et al. ( 2017 ) state that ‘While the long-term impact of AMRterm·dom on human societies remains uncertain, the conservation of antimicrobials’ effectiveness has become an urgent priority’ (p. 1).

The way AMRterm·dom is framed as a threat, a potential catastrophe, echoes the nature of other pandemic threats in recent times. The discourse is remarkably similar in form to that of pandemic influenza (Caduff, 2015 ) as well as SARS, Zika (Lakoff, 2017 ) and Ebola (Kelly, 2018 ). Where AMRterm·dom is described as a ‘growing spectre’ (Talkington, 2017 ), H1N1 was described as a ‘killer strain lurking in the shadows.’ Caduff ( 2015 ) observes that a key aspect of framing disease as a threat is the generation of a ‘public culture of danger’, through which he argues subjects of liberal rule are systematically reminded that life is under threat; and, following Foucault ( 2008 ), that the fear of such existential threat ‘is at the heart of the modern social contract and the formation of modern political communities’ (Caduff, 2015 , p. 189). The resulting anticipatory affect can be understood as part of practices of making futures present—by formulating life as contingent, subject to future surprises, forms of pre-emption and pre-mediation are required as anticipatory action (Anderson, 2010 ; Cooper, 2006 ).

As well as the threat of AMRterm·dom forming a biopolitical project through looming health crisis, an area that has been particularly developed as a threat in AMRterm·dom compared with other pandemics is the impact on economies. Foregrounded here are the potential economic costs of AMRterm·dom to health and healthcare in given future scenarios. While earlier economic forecasts found the additional costs associated with AMRterm·dom compared with susceptible infections to be relatively small (Smith and Coast, 2012 ), more recent estimates are substantially larger, drawing on a different set of assumptions. As Bruce Braun has reflected, the shift from calculable disease risks to anticipation of potential or ‘virtual’ events brings challenges for planning; he asks ‘how does one bring the ‘unspecifiable’ future-to-come within the realm of economic and political calculation? By definition the virtual is incalculable.’ (Braun, 2007 , p. 19). In AMRterm·dom, a way forward was forged by British economists engaged in producing cost-impact estimates for AMRterm·dom, Richard Smith and Jo Coast, who wrote in 2012 that ‘the cost of resistance needs to be high now to justify greater restriction on use of current drugs’ (Smith and Coast, 2012 , p. 8), and further argued that estimates ‘must encompass the costs that might relate to the loss of modern healthcare’ (Smith and Coast, 2013 , p. 2). Their example case of hip replacements as an example of the multiple points at which AMRterm·dom could cost the health system has been adopted widely to illustrate the potential catastrophic costs of AMRterm·dom (European Commission, 2016 ; World Health Organisation, 2016 ; Department for Health, 2013 ). The authors go further to ‘speculate’ about the impact on productivity and wider societal costs, proposing that to include these costs, and a scenario where no antibioticsterm·key work, would allow estimation of ‘the full potential economic costs’ (sic). They argue that ‘rather than see expenditure on antimicrobial policies as a cost, we should think of it as an insurance policy against a catastrophe; albeit one which we hope will never happen’ (ibid. p. 2). Thus, the criteria for economic costing was widened considerably, although also with considerable uncertainty. When the O’Neill report authors commissioned teams from KPMG and RAND Europe to calculate worldwide estimates of the impact of AMRterm·dom, they followed the principles of this model, resulting in projections of cumulative cost to global economic output of 100 trillion USD by 2050 if no action is taken (O’Neill, 2016 ). Following the O’Neill Report, in 2017 the World Bank published a report on Drug Resistant Infection with the subtitle ‘A threat to our economic future.’ The report is based on economic simulation tools and provides a vision of ‘AMRterm·dom’s destructive impacts on the global economy… if adequate measures aren’t taken to contain the AMRterm·dom threat.’ The report’s executive summary emphasises that ‘putting resources into AMRterm·dom containment now is one of the highest-yield investments countries can make’ (World Bank Group, 2017 ). This rhetoric echoes the policy rhetoric that ‘we cannot afford to return to a pre-antibiotic era’ (Tripartite Collaboration on AMRterm·dom, 2016 ).

The emphasis on investment in health issues on a global scale is not new or unique to AMRterm·dom. It is an emphasis that has shifted the shape of international health efforts since Rockefeller applied his business models to his Foundation, most notably in the investment into countries to support malaria control (Eckl, 2014 ). However, the application of the models used in the now dominant form of investment—hedge funds—to health is relatively recent. Thus, not only is the principle of supporting other countries’ health issues seen as an investment with return for the supporting country, but the mathematical models and assumptions that go along with investments into speculative futures are also being applied. George Osborne, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer under David Cameron’s Prime Ministership, is quoted in O’Neill’s Superbugs book as saying, ‘there is a growing recognition of the financial costs of failing to tackle antimicrobial resistanceterm·key and the need for financial expertise in developing the solution.’ (Hall et al., 2018 , p. 52). Encouraged by the desire for funding technological solutions to AMRterm·dom venture capitalists in the AMRterm·dom space are identifying ‘opportunities’ for investment. One major opportunity is for diagnostic testing, with a potentially global market for tests for surveillance and treatment. Thus, the ‘sentinelterm·key’ approach to disease surveillance emerges where we invest in vigilance and speculative future events (Anderson, 2010 ), fluently incorporating both the language and the capital of the current financial sector’s models. Emerging from these models are forecasts that can be hedged upon, and with the emphasis on technological development as a solution to AMRterm·dom, private investors are able to anticipate different potential futures upon which they may place options.

The language of a ‘sentinelterm·key’ approach also reminds us of the securitised nature of the AMRterm·dom phenomenon. The projections of and preparedness for threats stand to protect publics from danger (Caduff, 2015 ). This danger in AMRterm·dom is often personified in the form of ‘superbugs’ with which we are to wage war (Nerlich, 2009 ). An increasingly popular approach, also borrowed from war, when preparing for health crises and disaster management is simulation (Lakoff, 2007 ). Deployed in the 1980s for Ebola ‘war games’ (Garrett, 1994 ), simulations have since been used as modes of preparing for potential pandemics such as smallpox, anthrax and avian influenza (Lakoff, 2007 ), and are common in preparing for zoonotic disease outbreaks both in high income settings (Keck, 2018 ) and in national programmes for example in Uganda’s ‘One Healthterm·dom Strategic Plan’ (Republic of Uganda, 2018 ). Lakoff ( 2007 ) has drawn attention to the way priorities and resources are re-designated as a result of simulations, ‘by making infrastructural vulnerabilities visible’ (p. 266). Frédéric Keck ( 2018 ) has argued that, as well as operating as pastoral techniques of power, we can also understand the work done through these simulations as ‘cynegetic’, building in uncertainty at the borders between species (p. 15). As simulation exercises begin on the topic of AMRterm·dom, for example at the G20 meeting in Argentina in October 2018 (see, e.g., Department for Health and Social Care, 2018 ), these efforts seem at this point to orientate simulation more as a discussion and galvanising tool, to re-emphasise threats, which at once opens up the uncertainty and potential catastrophic scale of AMRterm·dom, and at the same time creates certainty in reinforcing messages that action is required now.

Finally, it can already be observed that AMRterm·dom is understood as a threat not only to health, to economies, to security, but also to modernity itself. Statements that AMRterm·dom could hail the end of modern medicine echo through the media, and are common in speeches at both policy and research events. For example, at the UK House of Commons Enquiry into AMRterm·dom, the Chief Medical Officer warned that ‘We will lose modern medicine’, the ability to undertake major surgery, cancer treatment and transplants, ‘There will be a lot of suffering and modern medicine will be lost’ (House of Commons, 2018 , p. 3). At stake are many of the ways we care for our bodies, ways that we have invested in and developed infrastructureterm·dom to support in the modern era. The potential loss of antimicrobial efficacy also represents a less-vocalised threat to modernity beyond health care—to our modes of production which we become increasingly aware are reliant on antimicrobials. Thus the fight against AMRterm·dom can be read as much as a fight for modernity.

Therefore, when AMRterm·dom is presented as one of the most pressing global threats—articulated in terms of a threat to health, economies, security and modernity—we see bound together a classic biopolitical phenomenon in a neoliberal framework. So that despite the ambiguity of the AMRterm·dom concept, and our lack of ‘actuarial’ knowledge of its current scale or future impact, an imperative to act on AMRterm·dom has become clear. Just as we saw with the spectre of avian influenza (Davis, 2005 ), the communities of practice emerging around the policy-science-industry nexus relating to AMRterm·dom, and the consequent multilateral statements and commitments, are testament to the effective construction of AMRterm·dom as an object that it is agreed must be acted upon.

A problem of connectedness; individualised solutions ‘People need to be brought on-board, so we are together in the one healthterm·dom approach’ I hear from an East African civil servant, ‘but implementation is a challenge with irrational use of drugs by villagers’. The rhetoric of a One Healthterm·dom approach, accompanied by frustration at human behaviour, echoes many conversations and consultations I’ve engaged in with experts and policy makers about the intractability of the AMRterm·dom problem. What is the relationship between these two conceptualisations? Fieldnotes East Africa 18, 2018 In the previous section we have seen that AMRterm·dom has been stabilised as an object in the form of a threat, and that this has been important for galvanising support—‘Why we need to act now: We cannot afford to return to a pre-antibiotic era’ (Tripartite Collaboration on AMRterm·dom, 2016 ). We have also seen the concern that political commitment should be translated into implementation—‘only 5% of countries have a multisectoral AMRterm·dom action plan that has been implemented with identified funding sources and monitoring processes in place’ (Wellcome Trust, 2016a ). In this section, I explore two frameworks for action that are prominent in global discourse. The first is the narrative that explains AMRterm·dom as a One Healthterm·dom problem, building a growing number of sectors into the definition of the problem, and therefore as points to locate solutions. The second is recourse to established rhetoric and instruments of behaviour changeterm·mth for formulating solutions. While the first strengthens new paths of connection between sectors, between humans and ‘nature’, and between the local and the global, I argue that the second obscures this understanding of connectedness by foregrounding individual responsibility for the AMRterm·dom phenomenon.

One healthterm·dom: AMRterm·dom as a problem of connection Today, addressing AMRterm·dom is often described as requiring a ‘One Healthterm·dom’ approach—typically defined as ‘multisectoral’ (World Health Organisation, 2015 ). This means understanding drivers of AMRterm·dom as located within and between agricultural, human health and environmental domains. Diagrams illustrate the emergence and circulation of drug resistant bacteria through livestock, food, water, hospitals, people, sewerage and so on, as shown in Fig. 1 (see also, e.g., Coutinho et al., 2013 ; Walsh, 2018 ) as well as showing the flow of antimicrobial drugs through these same channels (see, e.g., BioMerieux figure ‘The Spread of Antibioticterm·key Resistance’ (accessed October 2018 )). These illustrations emphasise the many points of connection within particular ecosystems that can be understood to increase risks of AMRterm·dom. Fig. 1 Antimicrobial Resistanceterm·key in the Food Chain infographic from WHO. This figure is covered by the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Reproduced with permission of World Health Organisation from “Infographics: Antibioticsterm·key in the Food Chain. WHO list of critically important antimicrobials (WHO CIA list)—5th revision” https://www.who.int/foodsafety/areas_work/antimicrobial-resistance/AMR-food-chain-infographics/en/ Copyright © WHO ( 2017 ), all rights reserved The One Healthterm·dom approach to AMRterm·dom also promotes interdisciplinary collaboration (European Commission, 2017 ; UK Government, 2013 ). Developments in the science of AMRterm·dom allow us to understand how resistance travels between microbes, and we have become increasing attuned to microbial ecologies through concepts such as the microbiome, evoking a heightened sense of interconnectedness between humans and the natural world (Landecker, 2016 ). Therefore, whilst rhetoric that utilises metaphors of war implies an ‘us’ and ‘them’ in fighting resistant bacteria, the One Healthterm·dom framing draws together an imagery that begins to depart from classic formulations of infectious disease control. For much of the enlightened scientific era, our imagery of infectious disease has relied on compartmentalism of human, animal, insect and environmental realms. Characterised by linear arrows and cyclical feedback loops, infection of humans is depicted in terms of pathogens traversing these realms. In this perspective, humans are considered separate (and separable) from the ‘natural’ reservoirs of infectious disease (Lynteris, 2017 ). Through apparatus such as DDT, extermination, physical barriers, characteristic of ‘hygienic modernity’ (Rogaski, 2004 ), we were able to visualise a disease-free humanity separated from nature (Lynteris, 2016 ). Research in a One Healthterm·dom framework does begin to question these imagined boundaries, with new ways of understanding infection, such as ‘folded’ life (Hinchliffe and Ward, 2014 ). As people struggle to capture the intricacies of AMRterm·dom with a One Healthterm·dom approach, diagrams become ever more complex, and it becomes clear that depictions of arrows, drivers, factors, as linear processes of infection from the outside in, become increasingly insufficient to account for AMRterm·dom in the context of these dissolved boundaries.

A One Healthterm·dom approach to AMRterm·dom often also incorporates ‘One World’, reflecting the global nature of the problem with connections through food systems and human travel (Robinson et al., 2016 ). We often hear and read that ‘AMRterm·dom does not respect borders’ (Wellcome Trust, 2016a ; World Health Organisation, 2018a ). In an article posted on 10 October 2017, the Pew Charitable Trusts released an animated map showing the global spread of resistance gene ‘New Delhi metallobeta-lactamase 1’ or ‘NDM-1’ (Talkington, 2017 ). Tracking the publications of findings of this gene from 2006 to 2015, the animation colours in the greyed-out map as years progress—first India becomes red, then a series of other countries each year, until in 2015 there are 80 red countries. The accompanying commentary remarks, ‘These outbreaks are a sobering reminder that when antibioticterm·key resistance develops anywhere, it is a threat to people everywhere.’ (ibid). Another recent example raising concerns of the spread of an emergent resistant gene is ‘mobilised colistin resistance 1’ or ‘MCR-1’, identified in pigs and humans in China in 2011 and subsequently identified in countries across five continents (Wang et al., 2018 ).

While the One Healthterm·dom approach to AMRterm·dom mainly focuses on drawing attention to interconnectedness between domains—whether sectoral, disciplinary or countries—it also has allowed for analyses of reasons for the emergence of AMRterm·dom, drawing attention to the ways we connect with each other and with nature. The relationships between antimicrobial use and resistance remain mysterious, with analyses suggesting a weak link for some drug-bug combinations at both a macro and micro level (Collignon et al., 2018 ; Caudell et al., 2018 ). Nonetheless, there is an increasing understanding of AMRterm·dom as an anthropogenic problem, a consequence of our collective reliance on antibioticsterm·key (Lee and Motzkau, 2013 ). Such a perspective is palpable in the mainstream, following the path paved by climate change (ibid). For example in their call for a global governance framework, participants from a Leeds Castle meeting in 2018 led by Dame Sally Davies note that, ‘The emergence of resistance is a natural phenomenon but is accelerated by a complex combination of human activity in health care, agriculture (including animal husbandry, aquaculture, and crops), and environmental contamination’ (Rochford et al., 2018 , p. 1977). Thus, we begin to see sensitivity to material-biotic interdependencies emerging in global level discourse, and we see the framing of One Healthterm·dom being mobilised to encompass numerous registers of connectedness in understanding AMRterm·dom. To a degree, this suggests a move towards understanding health as no longer bounded and separable from other arenas of economics and politics, and humans as no longer separable from nature. This can also be understood in relation to the ‘sentinelterm·key’ model described above, in which bodies are imagined as at risk of surprise pathogenic attacks in a chaotic and unpredictable molecular world, as Braun observes, ‘a body understood in terms of a general economy of exchange and circulation, haunted by the spectre of newly emerging or still unspecifiable risks’ (2007, p. 15).

Behaviour changeterm·mth: individualised solutions Given this rhetoric of AMRterm·dom as a One Healthterm·dom issue, advocating for recognition of complexity and connectedness that requires a multi-sectoral response, it is curious then to observe that the behaviour changeterm·mth of individuals is so frequently cited as a key solution to AMRterm·dom. For example, Public Health England’s Keep Antibioticsterm·key Working campaign specifically ‘focuses on the personal risks of antibioticterm·key resistance’ in an attempt to reduce demand for antibioticterm·key prescriptions from doctors (Public Health England, 2017 ). Behavioural targets are primarily reduction of antibioticterm·key use by patients, prescribers and farmers to reduce drug pressure on microbial populations, and handwashing and allied hygiene behaviours to prevent the spread of AMRterm·dom. The upsurge in interest in AMRterm·dom has revitalised the rational prescribing movement, energised by the behavioural economics models (Rynkiewich, 2018 ) that are increasingly influential in social policy in the UK and US to ‘nudge’ people to ‘do the right thing’ (Matjasko et al., 2016 ). There is now increasing interest in WASH (water, sanitation and hygiene) and ‘biosecurity’ behaviours in the human and animal health domains, respectively. For both antimicrobial use and hygiene interventions, there is increasing recognition that existing evidence base is unable to provide confidence in guiding effective and cost-efficient action. Several reviews have now underlined the ‘mixed results’ of evaluations that are unable to identify a desired recipe for successful behavioural interventions on antimicrobial use (Price et al., 2018 ; Davey et al., 2017 ; Arnold and Straus, 2005 ; Van Dijck et al., 2018 ). Nonetheless, the precautionary principle, a concept that relates to the sentinel approachterm·mth explored above, requires action now, while further research is commissioned to hone in on the best ways to change behaviour.

Current interventions for reducing antimicrobial use revolve around raising awareness and what is now widely referred to as ‘stewardship’. Campaigns and programmes orientate around individuals realising their responsibility to prevent a future tragedy that may occur due to their unnecessary use of antimicrobials today. Thus, materials are often designed to communicate risk, linking the future to actions today. For example, ‘Misuse of Antibioticsterm·key puts us all at risk’ (Fig. 2 , WHO, 2017 ). And materials communicate the choice that an individual has—e.g., the choice of an individual to take a pill like they might take a sweet (Fig. 2 ). The premise of such communication includes not only that the audience is ignorant of the topic, but also that the reasons for their behaviour emanates from a position of choice. They could choose not to, as easily as choosing not to eat a sweet. Not only does this fall into the common trap of isolating behaviour from context (the reasons for taking or prescribing an antibioticsterm·key are invariably dependent upon non-behavioural factors, and are often beyond the control of individual patients or prescribers—(see, e.g., Haenssgen et al., 2018 ; Pearson and ChandlerpersName, 2019 )) but it also imagines that taking antibioticterm·key medicines is a decision that is taken as unthinkingly as eating confectionary. Fig. 2 WHO Poster for World Antibioticterm·key Awareness Week (2017). This figure is covered by the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Reproduced with permission of World Health Organisation from ‘World Antibioticterm·key Awareness Week 13–19 November 2017' https://www.who.int/campaigns/world-antibiotic-awareness-week/2017/posters/en/ Copyright © WHO ( 2017 ), all rights reserved Underlying these behaviour changeterm·mth models—both in the antimicrobial stewardship and hygiene domains—is the assumption that action is instigated by cognitive or habitual functions of individuals. Moreover, it is often assumed that existing practices are rooted in erroneous beliefs or problematic culture that require intervention (Haddad, 2016 ). The focus on individuals as targets of interventions for change can be understood as part of a liberal framework that tends to locate risk and responsibility at the level of citizens (Petryna et al., 2006 ). Following in the footsteps of ‘lifestyle choices’ as a framing that recast responsibility towards individuals and away from the state (Lupton, 1995 ), at home in the rhetoric of choice (Mol, 2008 ) and self-improvement (Türken et al., 2016 ), and resonant with the logics of global healthterm·key metrics and accountability (Adams, 2016 ) the thrust towards ‘behaviour’ in AMRterm·dom interventions allows for deviant individuals to come into view as amenable to evaluable intervention while expectations from the state are obscured as unfeasible and idealistic. Political and infrastructural issues, that the One Healthterm·dom framework would indicate are likely to underlie AMRterm·dom risk, are cast as ‘complex’ and ‘not amenable to change’, to be circumvented with simple technologies as repeatedly observed in global healthterm·key (Street, 2012 ; Beisel et al., 2016 ).

Thus, while a review on country AMRterm·dom progress by the WHO ( 2018b ) notes ‘The necessary changes to global antimicrobial use exceed what can be achieved using individually targeted behaviour changeterm·mth strategies’ (p. 3), the report goes on to emphasise the need for progress ‘as most countries have not yet launched nationwide, government supported campaigns on AMRterm·dom awareness in human health, nor have they implemented strategies to change behaviour regarding AMRterm·dom in target groups in human health’ (p. 12). Taking together the uncertainty in the evidence base of behaviour-oriented interventions, and the evidence used to build the One Healthterm·dom argument that suggests AMRterm·dom as a systemic issue of connectedness, rather than individuals, one might expect an increase in activity and research to address ‘structural’ level issues that shape possibilities for action at a local level. This is occurring to a certain degree, with an ongoing review of governance interventions (Rogers Van Katwyk et al., 2017 ) and for example through the Wellcome Trust’s ( 2016b ) proposal for ‘enhanced ‘gating’ of antibioticsterm·key, ‘so more use is routed through healthcare professionals and over-the-counter use is minimised’ (p. 2). Although such proposals are challenging to negotiate given parallel concerns around access to lifesaving antimicrobial drugs (Laxminarayan et al., 2016 ), such concerns might equally be applied to individual-oriented interventions (see, e.g., the unintended consequences of malaria rapid diagnostic tests on access to antimalarials (Hutchinson et al., 2017a , 2017b )). Nonetheless, analysis of current discourse suggests most often a doubling-down on the individual; following the pastoral model of biopolitics characterised by Rose ( 2001 ) and which stands in contrast to the securitised form of geopolitics described in the One Healthterm·dom framework (Braun, 2007 ). Adding to the ongoing focus on cognitive interventions, there is increasing interest in targeting affect or emotion for behaviour changeterm·mth. For example, in a review on hand hygiene interventions, Wilson et al. ( 2011 ) propose that ‘interventions that provoke emotive sensations (e.g., discomfort, disgust) or use social marketing may be the most effective’ (p. 119). Similarly, a review on the nature of mass media campaigns on AMRterm·dom concludes that ‘further research is needed to systematically illuminate and capitalise upon the use of affect to effect behaviour changeterm·mth concerning antimicrobial stewardship.’ (Langdridge et al., 2019 ).

Antibioticsterm·key as Infrastructureterm·dom There is a recipe for the rapid growth of pig and chicken farming in Uganda: smaller spaces, larger imported breeds, intensive cleaning, imported feed concentrates, and antibioticsterm·key. ‘I use a lot of medicines, including antibioticsterm·key', explains a middle-aged gentleman who like many others is new to farming, having left employment in the civil service. ‘If I do not, then I cannot make a profit'. He and his fellow farmers describe how the recent push to commercial rather than subsistence farming reflects a number of societal shifts. There is liberalisation, which they say means that they as members of the population now shoulder greater risks—and potential rewards—with commercialised farming models. Then there is modernisation, which they explain increases demand for eggs, chicken and pork, ‘so there is a push to enhance how much your chicken can produce'. Then there is standardisation, whereby a particular sized chicken is given a set price on the market, and if you can produce it in 4 rather than 6 weeks then you can get an edge on balancing your books. In each case, we learn that antibioticsterm·key play an important but often invisible role. Fieldnotes East Africa 152, 2018 German scientist and Nobel laureate Paul Ehrlich used the term Zauberkugel (Ehrlich, 1913 ), or ‘magic bullets’, to refer to substances that could kill disease-causing microbes without harming the host. The term captures the imagination as an ideal targeted intervention, drawing attention to the effectiveness rather than the effects of these magical substances. Unwanted effects blur out of focus. They are ‘side’ effects, mundane and uninteresting in contrast with the magic of high efficacy. Whilst retaining their mystique and desire as powerful substances, the mass production of antimicrobials and possibilities they presented rapidly moved them into the fabric of lives and healthcare systems around the world (Podolsky, 2015 ). Antimicrobials were soon seen as essential to human life, with access to these medicines enshrined as primary health care in the declaration signed by 134 countries from around the world at Alma Ata in 1978 (World Health Organisation and United Nations Children Fund, 1978 ). Along with the push to ensure access to these medicines, came a realisation that recipients may not wish to use the drugs, or may use them in ways other than those defined within biomedical practice. The push for the rational use of medicines therefore emerged in parallel with the drive to increase access (Podolsky, 2015 ). However, as described above, the concept of rational medicines use has focused on behaviour of individuals—patients, prescribers, farmers—and has not attended to interconnections with wider changes in social, political and economic structures and relations. These relations into which antibioticsterm·key have become intertwined have largely been considered the domain of other analyses, disciplines, policies—disconnected from the materialities of antibioticsterm·key. However, in her clarion call to attend to AMRterm·dom, or witness ‘the end to modern medicine’, Dame Sally Davies draws our attention to the threat AMRterm·dom poses to the whole apparatus of modern medicine. And one might extend this argument to see these concerns as a response to a threat to modernity itself.

The present moment of antimicrobial resistanceterm·key as a major topic of global concern can be understood to represent a moment of inversionterm·dom—when antimicrobials have been rendered visible where previously they have been a part of the woodwork. In their work on classification systems as infrastructureterm·dom, Bowker and Star ( 2000 ) observe that good usable systems ‘disappear almost by definition. The easier they are to use, the harder they are to see’ (p. 33). Such infrastructureterm·dom comprises materials, information, ordering. For example, the availability and usability of research instruments and subjects shapes what science is constructed; the supply chain, techniques and subject handling methods are invented alongside biology’s conceptual frame. They argue that to render such infrastructureterm·dom visible ‘means learning to look closely at technologies and arrangements that, by design and by habit, tend to fade into the woodwork’ (p. 34). The idea of infrastructureterm·dom defining what is possible follows Becker ( 1982 ) who observes how infrastructureterm·dom is deployed as ‘conventions and constraints’ such that the length of musical concerts and sizes of paintings are set within particular parameters. Inversionterm·dom of the status quo is one way that the woodwork may be rendered visible. An 8-foot painting or 8-h musical would render visible the roles of parking attendants, ticket takers, theatre rentals, the positioning of paintings on walls, the size of rolls of canvas, the skills of framers, the very doorways of museums and galleries. Thus, the practice of inversionterm·dom brings to the fore the arrangements of objects, people and processes that may otherwise go unobserved and yet shape possibilities for the ways things can be done and conceived. The present awareness of antimicrobial resistanceterm·key appears to have produced an inversionterm·dom whereby antimicrobials, and their attendant relations and processes, have come to the fore. This enables analyses of the possibilities, conventions and constraints that have hitherto been taken for granted as common sense, and the potential for reshaping these into the future.

There are numerous ways in which one might productively explore this inversionterm·dom of infrastructureterm·dom presented by AMRterm·dom. Here I propose that analyses of antimicrobials as material, affective and political infrastructuresterm·dom is valuable to an effort of rendering visible the work of these medicines.

Material, affective and political infrastructuresterm·dom What does the threat of antimicrobial resistanceterm·key draw our attention to in the material infrastructural arrangements of domestic, health and industrial settings? Historical work has highlighted the role of hygiene and sanitation infrastructureterm·dom in bringing about infection control (Illich, 1976 ), on the tail of which antibioticsterm·key are also understood to have enabled reductions in infectious diseases (Headrick, 1981 ). To what extent antibioticsterm·key replaced or reshaped the material infrastructureterm·dom in maintaining disease control has been less directly studied. Robert Bud draws our attention to the dramatic increase in the number of beds on British medical wards with the founding of the National Health Service in the mid twentieth Century, when ‘the threats of cross-infection created by this increased turnover were again managed by antibioticsterm·key’ (Bud, 2006 , p. 197). The roles antibioticsterm·key now play in disease prevention for surgery and chemotherapy, and the attendant concern about the impact of drug resistant infection on the ability to carry out these procedures and processes in the speedy and relatively uncontained way they currently occur (Davies, 2013 ) suggests that antibioticsterm·key have become part of the health infrastructureterm·dom such that they shape possibilities and constraints in pathways to health. With rising concerns of antimicrobial resistanceterm·key in humans, relatively greater attention has been paid to the ways that antibioticsterm·key have been deployed to enable industrialisation of agriculture, particularly in livestock. Nonetheless, such investigation is often cut short by the ‘multi-sectoral challenge’ of the requirement for national productivity often contingent upon agricultural production. Antibioticsterm·key are therefore switched-in for biosecurity measures that attempt to prevent and contain infection whilst maintaining intensive farming. Such measures build on the same tenets of standardisation of material as antibioticsterm·key allow, rather than folding in diversity (Hinchliffe and Ward, 2014 ). Attention to antibioticsterm·key as material infrastructureterm·dom, and the inversionterm·dom posed by AMRterm·dom if these substances were to be removed, prompts further questioning of how materials are currently arranged and entangled with antibioticsterm·key.

Bringing to the fore antibioticsterm·key as affective infrastructureterm·dom allows for analyses of the ways in which these substances enable and define relations—between people, organisations, countries and so on. One of the most obvious relations that AMRterm·dom has brought to the fore is that of patients and prescribers—allowing us to see how these medicines have themselves become a form of care, such that in the absence of one medicine, providers often feel compelled to prescribe another (ChandlerpersName et al., 2017 ; Hopkins et al., 2017 ). Antibioticsterm·key have also shaped relations to biomedical institutions—such that with AMRterm·dom, hospitals may be transformed from being seen as lighthouses of therapeutic modernity to hothouses of infection (Gradmann, 2017 ). They also allow us to understand what is at stake in the absence of an antimicrobial prescription—which renders visible relations with work places, expectations of productivity and the ways that antimicrobial prescriptions have been legitimising illness and providing space for recovery. An exercise to explore this further might be to follow the impact of prescribing ‘rest’ in lieu of an antimicrobial—and to thereby explicate the layers of social and economic systems that make returning to work an imperative. Such an inversionterm·dom has been recently proposed by physicians observing a problem of presenteeism amongst health care workers which propogates disease in hospital environments, caused by sick leave policies and the value placed on ‘selfless-acts’ of continuing to work whilst ill (Chow and Mermel, 2018 ). And whilst antimicrobials may allow for humans to become shaped into more reliable and productive units of labour, they can also be understood to enable animals to become more reliably productive, as well as to become more standardised units of production. Thus, it is instructive to explore the pharmaceuticalisation of labour through antibioticsterm·key. In a similar vein, the economic concerns about the impact of AMRterm·dom on the workforce indicate a concern over the potential slowing down of life. We become aware that antibioticsterm·key enable the current tempo of life—indexed to productivity and consumption, and entwined as much with moral as financial economies. Standardisation and scale also become a part of this story, as we trace how antibioticsterm·key have become part of the apparatus of global standards—as interfacing objects that enable exchange of things or ideas to occur—we become able to envision the wider imperatives at play in the systems into which antibioticsterm·key have become a lynchpin. Empirical research that seeks out the ways in which antibioticsterm·key are entangled with these values of tempo, production, standardisation and scale will be valuable in explicating the ways these substances form relational infrastructureterm·dom across the globe today.

The exploration of the roles of antibioticsterm·key as affective infrastructureterm·dom also opens-up for analysis the ways they make possible particular political-economic values in the context and drivers of urbanisation and globalisation. They enable, for example, the revisiting of medicalisationterm·dom—the encroachment of biomedicine into areas hitherto conceived as outside of the medical domain. The process of medicalisationterm·dom can be understood to have been shaped by values and social policy established in the Enlightenment period of 17th–18th Century, principally ‘faith in the progress and perfectibility of society with the help of science and technology’ (Risse, 1992 , p. 150). For Enlightenment medicine, a key objective was ‘the displacement of such pessimistic concepts of sickness for more hopeful outlooks enshrined within new biomedical models of health and disease. Fatalism and ignorance in health-related matters had to be overcome’ (ibid, p. 154). While at this time, the focal point of medicalisationterm·dom was the professional expert who could deal with health-related problems, and more recently pharmaceuticals have been observed to take their place (Samsky, 2015 ), the framing of hope of a disease-free humanity remains integral to biomedicine today. In their history of acute bronchitis (cough) management in Britain through the twentieth Century, Macfarlane and Worboys ( 2007 ) illustrate how antibioticsterm·key enabled particular values in human productivity to develop, allowed for a more medicines-as-prevention strand to develop within healthcare, as well as how antibioticsterm·key became entangled with the ways the pharmaceutical industry could engage with a nationalising health system. Thus one can unpack the roles of antibioticsterm·key in co-producing our modern political economies, but also one can see how these political economic values have become part of how we understand and talk about antibioticsterm·key, and resistance, mobilised in metaphors of war (Nerlich, 2009 ), interchangeably with migration (Brown and Nettleton, 2017 ), capitalism (Brown and Nettleton, 2018 ) and entangled in the project of modernism itself (Hutchison et al., 2018 ). Thus, following Dewey ( 1927 ) and Collier et al. ( 2017 ), understanding antibioticsterm·key as infrastructureterm·dom in these ways enables us to ask what sorts of publics, collectives, social forms and systems are brought into being by these substances?

Conclusion In this paper I have drawn attention to the framing of AMRterm·dom discourse and its consequences. I have argued that AMRterm·dom has been less easy to advocate for with an ‘actuarial’ approach and instead support has been galvanised in its formulation as a threat, through a ‘sentinelterm·key’ approach (following Lakoff, 2015 ). I have drawn attention to the disconnect between the configuration of AMRterm·dom as a problem of connectedness through a One Healthterm·dom framework, and approaches to implementation that most often target individual behavioural change. These observations allow us to explore what happens if we use different models to envision AMRterm·dom which are less speculative and more actuarial? And what happens if we take seriously ‘one-health’ as a mode of governance as well as a way of understanding the problem, or if we seek to dis-embed antibioticterm·key dependence from within neoliberal society? I propose that to explore antibioticsterm·key as infrastructureterm·dom resists the micro/macro division implied in existing discourse, rather operating in a mode of entanglement. AMRterm·dom presents an inversionterm·dom of the current status quo of biomedicine and beyond, rendering visible in this moment the ways in which our lives are contingent upon antimicrobial medicines: to define and deliver health care; to enable productivity of work forces, industrialisation of food other commodities; as well as making possible particular social and political values in the context of modernisation, urbanisation and globalisation. In this sense, antimicrobials can be considered as infrastructureterm·dom—as usable systems that disappear unless deliberately explicated. This opens-up possibilities for reconfiguring AMRterm·dom research and action by shifting the focus of attention across scales and enabling different forms of care, and different publics, to come into view. Such shifts enable us to conceive of AMRterm·dom not only as ‘The End of Modern Medicine’ but as an invitation to an era of medicine beyond that defined through modernity.

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