J. LeifeldpersName, L. MenichettipersName (2018date). “The underappreciated potential of peatlands in global climate change mitigation strategies.” Nature Communicationstitle·j.
Object of study — the climate mitigation potential and nitrogenterm·key and land costs of peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key versus mineral soilterm·key sequestration
Research question — how peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key compares with soil carbon sequestrationterm·key as a climate strategy
Contribution — a global estimate showing restorationterm·key matches mineral-soil sequestration at far lower nitrogenterm·key and land cost
phenomenon · claim-type · cross-domain-transfer · mechanism · claim-relation · replication-status · limitation — grounded in the full text| phenomenon | greenhouse gas emissions from drained, degrading peatlands — “This corresponds to a contemporary annual greenhouse gas emission of 1.91 (0.31–3.38) Gt CO 2 -eq. that could be saved with peatland restoration.” | |
| claim-type | existence — “In the event that no further areas are exploited, drained peatlands will cumulatively release 80.8 Gt carbon and 2.3 Gt nitrogen.” | |
| method — evidence | — “Here we compare their potential and environmental costs regarding nitrogen and land demand.” | |
| object of study — evidence | — “Here we compare their potential and environmental costs regarding nitrogen and land demand.” | |
| research question — evidence | — “Soil carbon sequestration and avoidable emissions through peatland restoration are both strategies to tackle climate change.” | |
| contribution — evidence | — “Restoring peatlands is 3.4 times less nitrogen costly and involves a much smaller land area demand than mineral soil carbon sequestration, calling for a stronger consideration of peatland rehabilitation as a mitigation measure.” | |
| mechanism | C/N stoichiometry Narrow C/N microbial products dominate mineral soil organic matter, making carbon storage there nitrogen-costly. — “In mineral soils, microbial products with narrow C/N ratios are quantitatively dominant components of organic matter 22 , which makes C storage in mineral soil nutrient costly.” | mechanisms[0] |
| sense | avoidable emissions - greenhouse gas releases from degrading peat that restoration would prevent — “Soil carbon sequestration and avoidable emissions through peatland restoration are both strategies to tackle climate change.” | senses[0] |
| relation | GHG —same-as→ greenhouse gas — ( ) — “In addition, drained peatlands release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainage induces peatland degradation and alters peatlands, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gas (GHG) in the land-use sector” — “greenhouse gas (GHG)” | concept_edges[0] |
| weight | GHG —same-as→ greenhouse gas — 0.95 — “In addition, drained peatlands release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainage induces peatland degradation and alters peatlands, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gas (GHG) in the land-use sector” | concept_edges[0] |
| relation | IPCC —same-as→ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — ( ) — “the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission factors” — “Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)” | concept_edges[1] |
| weight | IPCC —same-as→ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — 0.95 — “the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission factors” | concept_edges[1] |
| relation | drainage —causes→ peatland degradation — induces — “In addition, drained peatlands release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainage induces peatland degradation and alters peatlands, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gas (GHG) in the land-use sector” — “drainage induces peatland degradation” | concept_edges[2] |
| weight | drainage —causes→ peatland degradation — 0.85 — “In addition, drained peatlands release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainage induces peatland degradation and alters peatlands, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gas (GHG) in the land-use sector” | concept_edges[2] |
| relation | oxygen deficiency —causes→ formation of organic soils — causes — “In intact peatland ecosystems, oxygen deficiency resulting from high-water tables causes the formation of organic soils” — “oxygen deficiency resulting from high-water tables causes the formation of organic soils” | concept_edges[3] |
| weight | oxygen deficiency —causes→ formation of organic soils — 0.85 — “In intact peatland ecosystems, oxygen deficiency resulting from high-water tables causes the formation of organic soils” | concept_edges[3] |
| effect direction | rewetting —causes→ GHG emissions — reduces — “Restoration through rewetting can significantly reduce GHG emissions” — “can significantly reduce GHG emissions” | concept_edges[4] |
| note | rewetting —causes→ GHG emissions — Hedged ('can') and cited from the literature (ref. 15), not measured here. — “Restoration through rewetting can significantly reduce GHG emissions” | concept_edges[4] |
| relation | rewetting —causes→ GHG emissions — reduce — “Restoration through rewetting can significantly reduce GHG emissions” | concept_edges[4] |
| weight | rewetting —causes→ GHG emissions — 0.7 — “Restoration through rewetting can significantly reduce GHG emissions” | concept_edges[4] |
| relation | Restoring peatlands —contrasted-with→ mineral soil carbon sequestration — less than — “Restoring peatlands is 3.4 times less nitrogen costly and involves a much smaller land area demand than mineral soil carbon sequestration, calling for a stronger consideration of peatland rehabilitation as a mitigation measure.” — “Restoring peatlands is 3.4 times less nitrogen costly and involves a much smaller land area demand than mineral soil carbon sequestration” | concept_edges[5] |
| weight | Restoring peatlands —contrasted-with→ mineral soil carbon sequestration — 0.85 — “Restoring peatlands is 3.4 times less nitrogen costly and involves a much smaller land area demand than mineral soil carbon sequestration, calling for a stronger consideration of peatland rehabilitation as a mitigation measure.” | concept_edges[5] |
| replication | original | |
| limitation | The global peatland area estimate is highly uncertain. — “It should be noted that the area estimate of global peatland is in general highly uncertain.” | limitations[0] |
| limitation | Paludiculture cannot fully replace food production on restored land. — “Paludiculture allows for maintaining a non-intensive land use, but cannot fully replace food production.” | limitations[1] |
finding · quantity · variable · definition · key-term — grounded in the full text| finding | Net soil mitigation cannot be achieved without the organic soil option. — “Hence, the global perspective on soil-born GHG emissions reveals that a net mitigation cannot be achieved without including the organic soil option.” | content_tags.findings[0] |
| finding | Drained tropical peatlands are the largest emitters. — “the largest GHG emitters are drained tropical peatlands” | content_tags.findings[1] |
| quantity | 80.8 Gt carbon — — “In the event that no further areas are exploited, drained peatlands will cumulatively release 80.8 Gt carbon and 2.3 Gt nitrogen.” | content_tags.quantities[0] |
| quantity | 1.91 (0.31–3.38) Gt CO 2 -eq. — — “This corresponds to a contemporary annual greenhouse gas emission of 1.91 (0.31–3.38) Gt CO 2 -eq. that could be saved with peatland restoration.” | content_tags.quantities[1] |
| quantity | 238 (140–1021) years — — “the equivalence point after which cumulative mineral soil C sequestration becomes counterbalanced by cumulative GHG emissions from degrading peatlands would be reached after on average 238 (140–1021) years” | content_tags.quantities[2] |
| quantity | 463.2 Mha — — “Our area estimate of in total 463.2 Mha puts a higher weight on tropical peatlands compared with previous estimates” | content_tags.quantities[3] |
| variable | GHG emissions — “Restoration through rewetting can significantly reduce GHG emissions” | content_tags.variables[0] |
| key-terms | peatlands, restoration, soil carbon sequestration, nitrogen, greenhouse gas, drainage, mineral soils, tropical peatlands, paludiculture, emission factors |
| concept | GHG — greenhouse gas — “In addition, drained peatlands release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainage induces peatland degradation and alters peatlands, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gas (GHG) in the land-use sector” | concepts[0] |
| concept | greenhouse gas — not defined in this paper's own words; heat-trapping gases such as CO2, N2O and CH4 — “In addition, drained peatlands release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainage induces peatland degradation and alters peatlands, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gas (GHG) in the land-use sector” | concepts[1] |
| concept | IPCC — Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — “the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission factors” | concepts[2] |
| concept | Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — not defined in this paper's own words; the UN body whose emission factors are used here — “the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission factors” | concepts[3] |
| concept | drainage — not defined in this paper's own words; lowering the water table of a peatland for use — “In addition, drained peatlands release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainage induces peatland degradation and alters peatlands, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gas (GHG) in the land-use sector” | concepts[4] |
| concept | peatland degradation — not defined in this paper's own words; loss of peat organic matter after drainage — “In addition, drained peatlands release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainage induces peatland degradation and alters peatlands, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gas (GHG) in the land-use sector” | concepts[5] |
| concept | oxygen deficiency — not defined in this paper's own words; lack of oxygen in waterlogged peat — “In intact peatland ecosystems, oxygen deficiency resulting from high-water tables causes the formation of organic soils” | concepts[6] |
| concept | formation of organic soils — not defined in this paper's own words; accumulation of peat — “In intact peatland ecosystems, oxygen deficiency resulting from high-water tables causes the formation of organic soils” | concepts[7] |
| concept | rewetting — not defined in this paper's own words; raising the water table again to restore a peatland — “Restoration through rewetting can significantly reduce GHG emissions” | concepts[8] |
| concept | GHG emissions — not defined in this paper's own words; releases of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere — “Restoration through rewetting can significantly reduce GHG emissions” | concepts[9] |
| concept | Restoring peatlands — not defined in this paper's own words; rewetting and rehabilitating drained peatlands — “Restoring peatlands is 3.4 times less nitrogen costly and involves a much smaller land area demand than mineral soil carbon sequestration, calling for a stronger consideration of peatland rehabilitation as a mitigation measure.” | concepts[10] |
| concept | mineral soil carbon sequestration — not defined in this paper's own words; building up soil organic carbon on mineral agricultural soils — “Restoring peatlands is 3.4 times less nitrogen costly and involves a much smaller land area demand than mineral soil carbon sequestration, calling for a stronger consideration of peatland rehabilitation as a mitigation measure.” | concepts[11] |
Full text — tagged
The underappreciated potential of peatlandsterm·key in global climate change mitigation strategies Abstract Soil carbon sequestrationterm·key and avoidable emissions through peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key are both strategies to tackle climate change. Here we compare their potential and environmental costs regarding nitrogenterm·key and land demand. In the event that no further areas are exploited, drained peatlandsterm·key will cumulatively release 80.8 Gt carbon and 2.3 Gt nitrogenterm·key. This corresponds to a contemporary annual greenhouse gasterm·dom emission of 1.91 (0.31–3.38) Gt CO 2 -eq. that could be saved with peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key. Soil carbon sequestrationterm·key on all agricultural land has comparable mitigation potential. However, additional nitrogenterm·key is needed to build up a similar carbon pool in organic matter of mineral soilsterm·key, equivalent to 30–80% of the global fertilizer nitrogenterm·key application annually. Restoring peatlandsterm·mth is 3.4 times less nitrogenterm·key costly and involves a much smaller land area demand than mineral soil carbon sequestrationterm·mth, calling for a stronger consideration of peatlandterm·key rehabilitation as a mitigation measure.
Introduction In intact peatlandterm·key ecosystems, oxygen deficiencyterm·dom resulting from high-water tables causes the formation of organic soilsterm·dom 1 . These are distinguished from mineral soilsterm·key by their high carbon (C) and nitrogenterm·key (N) density, often with an organic matter content of >90% and thicknesses of up to several meters 2 , 3 . Peatlandsterm·key only account for ~3% of the terrestrial surface 4 , predominately occurring in boreal and temperate ecosystems, with a smaller proportion in tropical regions. Nevertheless, they may store ~644 Gt of C 4 – 6 or 21% of the global total soil organic C stock of ~3000 Gt (0–3 m, ref. 7 ). In addition, peatlandsterm·key are large stores of organic N: Northern peatlandsterm·key, characterized by wide C/N ratios between 12 and 217 8 , have accumulated 8–15 Gt N 9 , whereas the N stock in tropical peatlandsterm·key has not yet been reviewed.
At present, human activity is either draining or mining ~10% of global peatlandsterm·key 10 , transforming them from long-term C sinks into sources by acting on three C loss pathways: CO 2 from microbial peat oxidation, dissolved C leaching, and CO 2 , CO and CH 4 from peat fires and combustion of mined peat 11 . In addition, drained peatlandsterm·key release relevant amounts of N 2 O 11 and therefore drainageterm·dom induces peatland degradationterm·dom and alters peatlandsterm·key, globally, from a net sink to a net source of greenhouse gasterm·dom (GHGterm·dom) in the land-use sector 12 , 13 . Consequently, peatlandterm·key protection and restorationterm·key are seen as proximate mitigation measures 10 , 14 . Restorationterm·key through rewettingterm·mth can significantly reduce GHG emissionsterm·dom 15 , restore vegetation communities, and recover biodiversity 16 , while still allowing for extensive management such as paludicultureterm·key 17 – 19 .
A substantial fraction of anthropogenic GHG emissionsterm·dom could be compensated for by improving management of mineral soilsterm·key. Indeed, various options for C sequestration, such as residue management and improved crop rotations in arable land or species introduction in grasslands, have been discussed (e.g., refs. 20 , 21 ). However, stoichiometric constraints limiting C storage are more severe in mineral soilsterm·key compared to peatlandsterm·key. In organic soils, mostly phenolic or lignocellulosic remains from mosses or vascular plants with low concentrations of N and other nutrients predominate. In mineral soilsterm·key, microbial products with narrow C/N ratios are quantitatively dominant components of organic matter 22 , which makes C storage in mineral soilterm·key nutrient costly. C storage in peatlandsterm·key is much less N limited: they accumulate organic matter over millennia, needing an average of only 0.018 kg N per kg C sequestered 8 , 9 , which is considerably less than that of mineral soilsterm·key at 0.094 kg N per kg C 23 . Hence, the well-recognized long-term climate cooling effect of global peatlandsterm·key 24 comes at a relatively low N cost.
Here, we begin by revisiting data on global peatlandterm·key distribution and degradation, then analyze current and future GHGterm·dom release and its uncertainty from degrading peatlandsterm·key (neglecting peat fires). This provides a global estimate of the magnitude of possible GHGterm·dom savings for organic soils, assuming that peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key renders a GHGterm·dom neutral ecosystem. We compare this potential to management-induced organic matter accumulation in mineral soilterm·key and assess both pathways from the perspectives of C and N cycling, time, and land demand. Our analysis assigns higher GHG emissionsterm·dom to degraded peatlandsterm·key than previous reports, mostly owing to a larger area of managed organic soils in the tropics. Cumulative GHG emissionsterm·dom from already drained peatlandsterm·key are greater than mineral soil carbon sequestrationterm·mth potentials on all agricultural land. Restorationterm·key of degraded peatlandsterm·key provides an efficient mitigation measure in the land-use sector, owing to a smaller area and nitrogenterm·key demand when compared with mineral soilsterm·key.
Results Global peatlandterm·key area and GHG emissionsterm·dom Our maps of the peatlandterm·key distribution (Figs. 1 and 2 ) reveal a contribution of 83.3, 4.0, and 12.7% from the boreal (and polar), temperate, and tropical zone, respectively, to the total peatlandterm·key area. Our area estimate of in total 463.2 Mha puts a higher weight on tropical peatlandsterm·key compared with previous estimates (8–11%, refs. 4 , 5 ), owing to an updated climate classification (Methods) and inclusion of recent data 6 . It should be noted that the area estimate of global peatlandterm·key is in general highly uncertain. The assignment of actual emission factorsterm·key for drained organic soils 11 , classified by climate and land use, to the overall peatlandterm·key area is considered a vulnerability indicator and illustrates that potential hot spots for GHG emissionsterm·dom are mostly located in the tropics (Fig. 1 ). The global peatlandterm·key area estimated as drained for forestry, cropland or grassland is ca. 50.9 Mha (Table 1 ). The distribution of actual and potential emissions differs substantially, particularly in the tropical zone of South America and Africa, indicating a low degree of degradation, whereas actual rates are closer to the potential ones in Southeast Asia and Europe, owing to their higher degree of degradation 25 , 26 . Degraded peatlandsterm·key store globally ~80.8 Gt soil C and emit ~1.91 (0.31–3.38) Gt CO 2 -eq. a −1 (0.52 (0.08–0.92) Gt CO 2 -C-eq. a −1 ) mostly as CO 2 (Table 1 and Methods). Our analysis categorizes degraded peatlandsterm·key by climate and shows that, in accordance with previous studies 27 , 28 , the largest GHGterm·dom emitters are drained tropical peatlandsterm·key (Table 1 , Supplementary Fig. 1 ).
Global peatlandterm·key distribution and annual potential emissions from peatland degradationterm·dom. The colored area indicates the areal distribution of peatlandsterm·key globally. Legend colors refer to per hectare greenhouse gasterm·dom emissions if those peatlandterm·key would be drained. High potential emissions are associated with intensive land use and warm climate, low potential emissions with low land-use intensity in cold climate Global peatlandterm·key distribution and estimated annual actual emissions from peatland degradationterm·dom. Data are calculated by correcting the potential emissions in Fig. 1 for the share of degraded peatlandterm·key (see Supplementary Fig. 1), thereby highlighting regions with a large degree of disturbance. The map shows the average emission per area peatlandterm·key for any given land use and climate category, not the average emission per area of disturbed peatlandterm·key Area and emission overview of global peatlandsterm·key Depending on the quantity of C stocks, GHG emissionterm·dom factors, and contribution of C to the overall emission, a drained peatlandterm·key continues to emit for decades to centuries. The ongoing organic matter loss will exhaust the actual degrading peat deposits within the next centuries (Fig. 3 ), depending on the intensity of the emissions and their C density. We calculated a N stock in tropical peat (intact and degrading) of ~4.0 Gt N, based on a median C/N ratio of 29.7 (Methods) and a tropical peat deposit of 119.2 Gt C. This latter estimate is based on our revised, high-resolution area assignment and comprehensive estimates on carbon stocks per area land in tropical peat 4 , 5 , 6 . A discovery as in ref. 6 suggests that the tropics might present still uncharted peat stocks, for example in the Amazon basin. Of this N in tropical peatlandsterm·key, 1.7 Gt would be cumulatively released upon degradation of currently utilized tropical peatlandsterm·key, together with 0.6 Gt N from currently degrading temperate, boreal, and polar peatlandsterm·key (total N stock temperate + boreal + polar peatlandsterm·key 9.8 Gt, median C/N 49.0 8 ). In reverse, these quantities of C and N stocks in degrading peatlandsterm·key represent avoidable emissions during the calculated time span and become an asset upon restorationterm·key.
The world’s cumulative GHG emissionsterm·dom from degrading peatlandsterm·key. Cumulative emissions of the current area are in pink, and for a doubling of that area within 60 years (future scenario, see Methods) in blue (positive values). Their end points represent the theoretical maximum that can be emitted from the degrading peat C stocks. Units are Gt CO 2 -C-eq. Negative areas display the cumulated C sink in mineral soilsterm·key assuming the C saturation equation proposed by ref. 31 (gray). Vertical lines denote equivalence points where mineral soilterm·key sink potentials are exhausted relative to peatland-related emissions (minimum, average and maximum estimates, for numbers see text; maximum equivalence point for actual degrading peatlandterm·key is 1021 years and not displayed) Even the most recent global estimate on the contemporary net biogenic terrestrial CO 2 sink of −5.3 (±4.5) Gt CO 2 a −1 does not fully consider peatlandterm·key emissions 29 . Hence, our analysis suggests the magnitude of that sink is probably undervalued. We use, in contrast to any of the previous estimates, the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changeterm·dom (IPCCterm·dom) emission factorsterm·key 11 , a map of peatlandterm·key area updated to 2016 and including areas not previously considered, a refined allocation of drained organic soils to land use and climate regions and a revised estimate of degrading peatlandterm·key areas based on such allocation (Methods). For the first time with regard to such estimates, our calculation accounts for all GHGsterm·dom (CO 2 , N 2 O, CH 4 , CO 2 from oxidizing leached dissolved organic C (DOC) (Methods). The upper end of the range of our estimate for annual GHG emissionsterm·dom from drained organic soils is higher than previous studies reporting 0.35 Gt CO 2 -C-eq. a −1 (ref. 10 , all drained peatlandsterm·key, CO 2 only, area 46 Mha), 0.24 Gt CO 2 -C-eq. a −1 (ref. 30 , drained for cropland and grassland, CO 2 from cropland, N 2 O from cropland and grassland, area 26 Mha), or 0.25 Gt CO 2 -C-eq. a −1 (ref. 28 , drained for agriculture, CO 2 and N 2 O, area 25 Mha) per year. This difference arises despite smaller EF’s in the most current report 11 , as compared to ref. 10 , mainly because of a higher fraction allocated to tropical peatlandsterm·key known for their much higher emission factorsterm·key, and including all GHGsterm·dom and land-use types.
Mitigation potentials in mineral and organic soils Annual mitigation potentials for cropped organic soil restorationterm·key, considering all GHGsterm·dom, were previously estimated at 0.08–0.35 Gt CO 2 -C-eq. a −1 , mostly stemming from avoided CO 2 emissions 20 , 21 . This potential is here adjusted upward (0.08–0.92 Gt CO 2 -C-eq. per year), although estimates mostly agree regarding the lower boundary. We consider the upper side of this range as maximum mitigation potential achievable with full global peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key, and we account for the full uncertainty range in the following calculations.
How does the global GHGterm·dom saving potential of peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key compare with that of mineral soilterm·key abatement strategies? Current estimates indicate sequestration potentials in agricultural soils of up to 64 Gt C over the next century 31 i.e., of the same order of magnitude as avoidable emissions from the currently degrading peatlandterm·key C pool. The 64 Gt potential considers mitigation measures on all 4923 Mha agricultural land 32 and it is the most optimistic scenario. We adopted the principle of ref. 31 for calculating sequestration potentials of agricultural mineral soilsterm·key and, within our simulation, the maximum additional C storage of 24–64 Gt C in 4923 Mha mineral soilterm·key would be reached after 63 years (Methods). We did not consider any increase of the current agricultural area, since any land-use change would imply net GHGterm·dom release from newly converted areas. Our calculation suggests that, in a hypothetic scenario in which substantial peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key is not incorporated, comprehensive mineral soilterm·key measures alone would only be able to compensate for most of the future emissions from degrading organic soils but not provide a net soil sink. A detailed look into the time line of emissions reveals that, because of the high-annual GHGterm·dom release and the size of the peat C pool, the equivalence point after which cumulative mineral soilterm·key C sequestration becomes counterbalanced by cumulative GHG emissionsterm·dom from degrading peatlandsterm·key would be reached after on average 238 (140–1021) years (Fig. 3 ). This will apply even if sequestration strategies were implemented at full capacity in mineral soilsterm·key and considering that no additional peatlandterm·key areas would be degraded. After this point, GHG emissionsterm·dom from soils would globally represent a net GHGterm·dom source to the atmosphere. In a scenario of doubling peatlandterm·key exploitation area gradually during the next six decades (Methods), the equivalent point would be reached after only 104 (67–374) years, and cumulative C and N release from that larger area would add up to 161.6 and 4.6 Gt, respectively.
Assessment of soil related mitigation measures Minimizing anthropogenic GHG emissionsterm·dom via peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key is cheap in terms of N when compared with mineral soilterm·key C sequestration and thus more cost effective. Owing to their narrow C/N ratio of on average 10.7 23 , N availability will represent a constraint to compensate for anthropogenic GHG emissionsterm·dom in mineral soilterm·key together with making such measurements more pricey. This can be illustrated by comparing the avoidable N release from currently degrading peatlandsterm·key with the N requirement for mineral soilterm·key C sequestration; The latter would entail a total of 2.2–5.9 Gt N or, averaged over 63 years, 35.2–93.9 Mt N a −1 , to be immobilized in agricultural mineral soilsterm·key to offset GHG emissionsterm·dom of the same magnitude from other sources as new organic matter storage. For perspective, with a quantity of 2.2–5.9 Gt N, global peatlandsterm·key sequestered 81–216 Gt C. The additional N requirement for organic matter sequestration in mineral soilsterm·key is substantial considering that 117 Mt N were applied globally as fertilizer in 2016 33 , and stands in sharp contrast to halting emissions via organic soil restauration where no additional N must be fixed but quite the converse, release of 2.3 Gt N can be avoided. Taking the mean equivalence point of 238 years in the business as usual scenario of Fig. 3 , this number converts to annually 9.7 Mt N, whose release can be circumvented by peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key.
Of course, mineral soilterm·key C sequestration is not a purpose in itself, but a co-benefit of practices applied to improve soil health and, hence, productivity 34 . Still, and although not all C sequestration measures in mineral soilterm·key require N fertilization explicitly, the unavoidable microbial transformation of wide-C/N-ratio plant litter into narrow-C/N-ratio SOM implies co-sequestration of C and N 35 . It is also reasonable to assume that this additional N input comes with costs in form of energy for N fertilizer production 36 and N losses to the environment 37 , including additional N 2 O 38 (which will need other mitigation interventions). In addition, a vast area of agricultural land on mineral soilsterm·key needs improved management with continuous maintenance owing to the non-permanence of mineral soilterm·key C storage 21 , 39 . By integrating temporal dynamics instead of just comparing annual rates, we show that even in the case of successful full implementation of C sequestration measures in all 4923 Mha agricultural land on mineral soilterm·key, GHG emissionsterm·dom from only the 50.9 Mha of currently degrading peatlandsterm·key would override that sink on a midterm time scale. Hence, the global perspective on soil-born GHG emissionsterm·dom reveals that a net mitigation cannot be achieved without including the organic soil option. In a scenario of further peatlandterm·key exploitation, a positive global soil GHGterm·dom balance, i.e., a net source, would likely be reached within the next one hundred years.
Our comparative simulation of mineral soilterm·key C sequestration and GHGterm·dom mitigation from organic soil underpins the high relative mitigation efficiency of peatlandterm·key restorationterm·key and protection. The majority of utilized peatlandsterm·key is located in the tropical (47% of the global total degrading area) and boreal+polar (32% of the global total degrading area) zones, followed by a relevant percentage of utilized peatlandterm·key in temperate zones (21%), and many of these areas are managed at high intensity. A full recovery of these areas implies that the corresponding loss of production from agriculture and forestry should be compensated by an increased productivity on mineral soilterm·key. Paludicultureterm·key allows for maintaining a non-intensive land use, but cannot fully replace food production. However, the 50.9 Mha of degrading peatlandsterm·key represents only ~1% of total agricultural land. Under the assumption that productivity on degrading organic soils is similar to that of mineral soilterm·key 40 and that all of them were agriculturally used, it is unlikely that the environmental impact of increasing productivity per land unit on mineral soilterm·key by 1% overrides the detrimental consequences of continuous peatlandterm·key use listed here.
These insights into mitigation options in organic and mineral soilsterm·key in terms of N and land demand, and time line do not call into question efforts undertaken in mineral soilsterm·key, but indicate that, for effective climate change mitigation in the land-use sector at the global scale, both strategies must be adopted and that we must prevent further peatland degradationterm·dom. Integrating significant peatlandterm·key preservation and restorationterm·key measures in global policies, particularly in the tropics, therefore appears to be a critical step for an effective global climate change mitigation strategy.
Methods Data sources for the peatlandterm·key extension map The map we built represents an upper estimate of the possible global peatlandterm·key area and its spatial distribution, in order to offer a precautionary estimate. There are still many uncharted peatlandsterm·key are in the world, particularly in the tropical area 6 , and we therefore assembled the global map of potential peatlandterm·key areas starting from the map published in ref. 4 (please note that such map relies on different sources than the calculations reported in the same paper and considers a substantially larger area), and updated it with the most recent data from the literature. We added all the areas considered in the Ramsar convention ( http://www.ramsar.org/sites-countries/the-ramsar-sites ) and included country-specific data: The data from Sweden have been received from the Swedish Geological Union. The data for Estonia were received from the Estonian Land Board, Department of Geology. The data for Kirghizistan have been taken from ref. 41 . The important areas of Malaysia, Sumatra, and Borneo were updated with the maps from ref. 42 . The data for Tasmania were received directly from the Tasmanian Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water, and Environment 43 . Our updated peatlandterm·key extension map accounted for an increase of 0.8% compared to ref. 4 . We utilized our map only as a statistically representative geographical sample to recalculate proportions of emissions and land use based on other spatial data.
The peatlandterm·key land use and degradation maps All the work with spatial data has been performed with ArcGIS (ArcGIS 10.4, ESRI, Redlands, CA, USA). All calculations adopt a Goode homolosine projection in order to have approximately equal area per pixel.
We assigned peatlandterm·key areas to the three major IPCCterm·dom land-use classes (Forest Land FL, Grassland GL, and Cropland CL) by overlaying our map with the European Space Agency Global Land Cover Map (ESA-GLCM, release 19/12/2008), available at http://www.esa.int/spaceinimages/Images/2008/12/Envisat_global_land_cover_map (accessed 21 Jan 2016). The ESA-GLCM raster distinguishes 23 classes (Supplementary Table 1 ) that we reclassified with the IPCCterm·dom emission factorsterm·key and climate regions (boreal, temperate, tropical), associated with the three broad land-use types CL, FL, and GL 11 . Classes 11, 14, and 20 were assigned to CL, classes 40, 50, 60, 70, 90, 100, 110, 130, 160, and 170 were assigned to FL, and classes 120, 140, and 150 were assigned to GL. Class 190, associated with mixed urban areas, was assigned to GL. We assigned the mixed class 30 to a combination of the FL, GL and CL emission factorsterm·key, and class 180 to a combination of FL and GL. Classes 200–230 could not be assigned to any land-use type and were disregarded. In order to improve land classification we combined to this source also CL areas from the EarthStat database 44 . Since this map indicates the probability of the presence of CL between 0 and 1, we discretized it with a threshold of 0.5, considering all areas with higher probability as being CL. We then updated the former land use map by superimposing the CL classification to all these areas.
We combined the resulting peatlandterm·key land use map with a global climate classification according to Köppen 45 , broadly reclassified to the generic climate classes polar+boreal, temperate, and tropical, obtaining a map with 5 × 3 = 15 emission classes (Supplementary Fig. 2 ). These climatic zones are therefore not based on latitude, but on ecological and climatic considerations. We then assigned an emission factorterm·key to each class based on ref. 11 , after having aggregated the emission factorsterm·key by climate and land use (polar and boreal climates were assigned the same emission factorsterm·key) (Supplementary Table 2 ). We adopted GHG emissionterm·dom factors from ref. 11 by including CO 2 , N 2 O, CH 4 , and dissolved organic carbon DOC in the overall calculation. Given the high uncertainty of the data we decided on a conservative statistical treatment. Uncertainty in the emission factorsterm·key is considered as uniform probability distribution inside each of the three major classes (CL, FL, and GL), and uncertainty boundaries are therefore expressed as a range. The range considers explicitly maximum and minimum instead of confidence intervals. The resulting map shows the potential peatlandterm·key distribution and spatially assigns potential GHG emissionsterm·dom from peatland degradationterm·dom to the potential global peatlandterm·key area (Fig. 1 ).
Inside each country we first assumed that all the cropland areas on peatlandterm·key are fully degrading, and therefore all the CL areas have been assigned land degradation factor 1. We then calculated a degradation ratio (between 0, non-degraded, to 1, fully degraded) using the area of degraded peatlandterm·key by country reported by ref. 10 . In case that this degradation ratio was indicating a smaller area than what indicated by the cropland areas, we assumed the latter to be the correct estimate. In case, that the relative cropland land use on peatlandterm·key was smaller than the degradation ratio for a specific country, we subtracted the cropland/peatlandterm·key ratio from the degradation ratio reported by ref. 10 and applied the remaining degradation ratio uniformly among all the other land use types.
Degradation refers to drainageterm·dom, the latter being a precondition for further management. We alternatively use both drained and degraded, based on the premise that drainageterm·dom (i.e., a human activity) is a precondition for management which always induces peat degradation (i.e., a changing ecosystem property) as indicated by changing GHGterm·dom fluxes (i.e., the measure for degradation). We generated this way a degradation map with values between 0 and 1 expressing the (probabilistic) fraction of degraded peatlandterm·key in that area (Supplementary Fig. 1 ).
We multiplied the peatland degradationterm·dom map (Supplementary Fig. 1 ) with the potential emission map to calculate a probabilistic map of actual emissions from peatland degradationterm·dom (Fig. 2 ). Total emissions are calculated on a per pixel base and then aggregated by climate and land use to produce data in Tab. 1. The peatlandterm·key area reported by ref. 10 , and the cartographic data we assembled are statistically comparable (Spearman’s p -value 0.02). The peatlandterm·key area reported by ref. 10 , which contributes to our degradation estimates with the fraction of degraded peatlandterm·key per country, is distinctly smaller than the cartographic area depicted in Fig. 1 but it is assumed to be representative of the share of degrading peatlandsterm·key at global scale. Given the generous estimate on which the original map from ref. 4 is based, since it includes in many areas (where data are missing) also histosols and gleysols, we rescaled the peatlandterm·key areas on a global area estimate based on what is reported in the table from ref. 4 , updated with the tropical area reported by ref. 5 plus the area reported by ref. 6 .
Soil carbon to nitrogenterm·key ratios We used the ISRIC WISE database 23 to extract C/N ratios for mineral soilsterm·key. We excluded all Histosols, and any soils with C/N ratios of either <5 or >100 and soil organic C concentration > 200 mg g −1 , assuming that they carry analytical errors (C/N ratios) or represent organic soils not classified as Histosols. The median C/N ratio of this reduced data set ( n = 22,959) is 10.7.
For organic soils, we took boreal and temperate peat C/N values from ref. 8 . Literature values for C and N contents of tropical peats were compiled to get a generic C/N value for tropical peats (Supplementary Data 1 ). Samples represent various countries (Malaysia, n = 14; Indonesia, n = 41; Thailand, n = 1; Peru, n = 1; Brunei, n = 12; Panama, n = 5; Micronesia, n = 2; Mexico, n = 1; Bangladesh, n = 1; Democratic Republic of the Congo, n = 1; Colombia, n = 5; Guyana, n = 2; Rwanda, n = 12; Papua New Guinea, n = 12; Bolivia, n = 2), and various land-use types (forest/plantation, n = 40; natural, n = 24; cropland and rice paddy, n = 20; other, incl. grazing, degraded, deforested, and extraction sites, n = 19; unknown, n = 9).
Future scenario and mineral soilterm·key mitigation potential Global GHG emissionsterm·dom in the future projection in Fig. 3 were calculated based on a combination of the updated C stocks from refs. 4 – 6 , with the global peatland degradationterm·dom ratio reported by ref. 10 . Global peatlandterm·key distribution came from our map. The mitigation potential of agricultural soils was calculated based on Eq. 1 reported by ref. 31 . We determined maximum and minimum values according to their calibrated values, and then added a prudential uncertainty term corresponding to 1/5 of the value on both ends. Total area of arable land was considered 1563 Gha and for meadow and pasture land was 3360 Gha 32 . The average global soil C content for the calculation was 1.35% and was derived from the ISRIC WISE database 23 . As a result, we obtain a mineral soilterm·key sequestration of 24–64 Gt C within 63 years, similar to the range reported by ref. 31 (32–64 Gt over 87 years). We calculated the future scenario considered in this study (increased degrading peatlandsterm·key in Fig. 3 ) according to a Michaelis−Menten function describing the increase. The function was set to reach half saturation, i.e., a doubling of the current degraded area within 60 years after present day.
Data availability The data reported in this paper are detailed in the main text and its supplementary information files. Shape files for Figs. 1 and 2 , and Supplementary Figs. 1 and 2 are available from L. MenichettipersName on request.
Electronic supplementary material Supplementary Information Peer Review File Description of Additional Supplementary Files Supplementary Data 1 Acknowledgements We acknolwedge the help of C. Wüst-Galley with ArcGIS and K. Budge for critically reading the manuscript. Shape files delineating organic soil areas were kindly provided by Zicheng Yu (Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, USA), the Swedish Geological Union, the Estonian Land Board (Department of Geology), the Tasmanian Department of Primary Industries, Parks, Water and Environment, Jukka Miettinen (Centre for Remote Imaging, Sensing and Processing CRISP, National University of Singapore), and by Maria Aljes, Northwest German Institute of Forest Research, Göttingen, Germany.
Author contributions J.L. developed the idea, compiled tropical peat data, and wrote the text. L.M. wrote the text, compiled boreal and temperate peat data, and performed the calculations.
Competing interests The authors declare no competing interests.
Footnotes References Associated Data Supplementary Materials Supplementary Information Peer Review File Description of Additional Supplementary Files Supplementary Data 1 Data Availability Statement The data reported in this paper are detailed in the main text and its supplementary information files. Shape files for Figs. 1 and 2 , and Supplementary Figs. 1 and 2 are available from L. MenichettipersName on request.