The Developmental Theory of the Gender Gap: Women’s and Men’s Voting Behavior in Global Perspective

Ronald Inglehart, Pippa Norris · International Political Science Review · 2000 · political-science · 10.1177/0192512100214007 · record inglehart2000-the-developmental-theory-of-the-ge
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Where this record's text came from. faceted 2026-08 by reading the locally held text (pdftext); every evidence string verified as an exact substring of that text before merging. Claim type is 'mechanism' because the paper's stated argument is causal (structural and cultural trends → value change → leftward realignment); an 'existence' reading of the same paper would also be defensible, since it first documents that the modern gender gap exists outside the US. The paper contradicts unnamed 'particularistic accounts' of the American gender gap, but names no work in that sentence, so no contradicts relation was recorded. 2026-08-14 and 2026-08-25 schema-0.3 passes: every quote verified as an exact substring of the staged text and anchored at merge time; concept terms verified present; every edge endpoint an existing node.
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Other fields define these differently the same word, defined another way in another discipline
gender 2 fields · education 2 fields

Tags on this paper

Every tag the record carries, each linking to every other paper in the corpus that carries it. A tag appears here whether or not its words occur in the article — the spans below are only the ones a sentence in this paper licenses. Of the 3 concept tags on this paper, all 3 are grounded in a quoted sentence.
traditional gender gap modern gender gap World Values Surveys Modernization converges men's and women's roles through the paid labour market, education and changed family structure, which in turn changes their political preferences Value change — the spread of postmaterialist and egalitarian/feminist attitudes — pulls women's vote leftwards Generational turnover: as younger cohorts replace older ones the aggregate gap keeps moving left Occupational segregation concentrates working women in low-paid and public-sector jobs, encouraging support for parties of the left developmental theory of the gender gap gender dealignment ideological gap gender 10-point left–right voting scale cultural attitudes generational cohort type of society religiosity labor force participation education age socioeconomic status ANOVA difference between group means the difference between group means ordinary least squares regression ordinary least squared regression models standardized regression coefficient standardized Beta coefficients correlation observational-study

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relation to other workclaim_relationshow this paper stands to another: agrees, contradicts, extends, qualifies
claim typeclaim_typethe shape of the claim: existence, mechanism, method, critique, prediction, null
concept edgeconcept_edgesan asserted relation between two concepts, with the sentence asserting it
conceptconceptsan idea the paper works with, quoted where the paper uses it
content tagcontent_tagsa finding, definition, quantity, statistic or variable named in the paper
controlcontrolsan experiment run to eliminate a rival explanation
limitationlimitationswhat the paper says its evidence cannot support
mechanismmechanismshow the reported effect is said to come about
methodmethodhow the paper produced its evidence
phenomenonphenomenonthe effect or regularity under study
sensesensesa distinct use of a term, quoted where the paper fixes it

The paper

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Every tag on this page

alternatives 3 · claim_relations 2 · claim_type 1 · concept_edges 1 · concepts 3 · content_tags 37 · controls 1 · limitations 6 · mechanisms 4 · method 1 · phenomenon 1 · senses 3

Relations on this page carry a quotation for the claim. Where a relation was separately evidenced — and so tested against the vocabulary for its type — the row says so; none of 1 relation here carry that mark. The rest are the tagger’s reading of the sentence quoted beside them.

facettagfieldconf.whose words
claim_typemechanism
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claim_typethe paper's words
phenomenongender gap in voting
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phenomenonthe paper's words
methodobservational-study
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methodthe paper's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[0]the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[1]the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[2]the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[3]the tagger's words
limitationsThe survey data do not cover consistent over-time trends for most of the countries compared, so the wider comparison is cross-sectional (1990s only).
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what this limits: the cross-national comparison: WE LACK EVIDENCE IN THE WORLD VALUES SURVEY FOR CONSISTENT TRENDS OVER TIME IN A WIDER RANGE OF SOCIETIES
limitations[0]the tagger's words
limitationsNo systematic comparative evidence exists before the 1980s, so long-term secular change has to be inferred from age-cohort differences rather than observed directly.
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what this limits: the long-term secular claim: WE LACK SYSTEMATIC COMPARATIVE EVIDENCE ... FROM THE ERA PRIOR TO THE 1980S, so it is inferred rather than observed
limitations[1]the tagger's words
limitationsThe analysis covers only one dimension of a multidimensional phenomenon: vote choice, not partisanship, attitudes, or civic engagement.
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what this limits: every use of the phrase gender gap drawn from this work: THE TERM ... CONCERNS A MULTIDIMENSIONAL POLITICAL PHENOMENON, and only vote choice is measured here
limitations[2]the tagger's words
limitationsThe realignment is uneven across countries and may reflect country-specific circumstances the theory does not model.
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what this limits: the generality of the realignment claim: THE PROCESS IS FAR FROM UNIFORM, PROBABLY REFLECTING PARTICULAR CIRCUMSTANCES WITHIN EACH COUNTRY
limitations[3]the tagger's words
limitationsThe headline realignment is explicitly not global, although the title says global perspective: the old pattern is reported as persisting in postcommunist and developing societies.
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what this limits: the claim that women have realigned to the left worldwide: the paper reports the modern gap in postindustrial and some West European states, and states it was not yet evident in postcommunist or developing societies
limitations[4]1.0the tagger's words
limitationsSympathy for feminist ideals is measured by two proxies chosen as indicators, so the construct is interpretive rather than observed.
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what this limits: the feminism controls in this analysis: they are confidence in the women's movement and attitudes towards abortion, described as key indicators of sympathy for feminist ideals rather than direct measures of it
limitations[5]1.0the tagger's words
controlsstructural controls were introduced and the gender gap re-estimated in each country
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eliminates: that the modern gender gap is a by-product of structural differences - education, income, labour-force participation - rather than a value shift · outcome (stated by the tagger, no quotation): partial
controls[0]0.95the tagger's words
conceptstraditional gender gap
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concepts[0]the paper's words
conceptsmodern gender gap
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concepts[1]the paper's words
conceptsWorld Values Surveys
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concepts[2]the paper's words
sensesgender gap - TRADITIONAL: women voting more conservatively and participating less than men, the orthodoxy the article sets out to test
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senses[0]1.0the tagger's words
sensesgender gap - MODERN: women voting to the LEFT of men, the opposite sign under the same term, reported for postindustrial societies by the 1990s
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senses[1]1.0the tagger's words
sensessympathy for feminist ideals - operationalised as two survey items: confidence in the women's movement and attitudes towards abortion
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senses[2]1.0the tagger's words
alternativesclaim_type: mechanism
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a second reading reaching the same value. Recorded: mechanism — note: A BLIND second reading by the project on 2026-08-25: the record's own claim type/method/phenomenon were not looked at until every value here was written and substring-verified. Not applied - a person decides. Sampling frame: the 504 staged records carrying no alternatives block, so this never re-measures the 202. All 11 records with 130+ tags were taken as a census and 19 more spread one per discipline across 22 disciplines - the dense non-neuroscience cell is the one the 202 do not contain (inside them, 94-100% of the densest bands are neuroscience; among these 11, one is).,
alternatives.claim_type0.8the tagger's words
alternativesmethod: comparative-survey-analysis
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a second reading DIFFERING from the recorded value. Recorded: observational-study — note: A BLIND second reading by the project on 2026-08-25: the record's own claim type/method/phenomenon were not looked at until every value here was written and substring-verified. Not applied - a person decides. Sampling frame: the 504 staged records carrying no alternatives block, so this never re-measures the 202. All 11 records with 130+ tags were taken as a census and 19 more spread one per discipline across 22 disciplines - the dense non-neuroscience cell is the one the 202 do not contain (inside them, 94-100% of the densest bands are neuroscience; among these 11, one is).,
alternatives.method0.8the tagger's words
alternativesphenomenon: the gender gap in voting behaviour and its reversal as societies become postindustrial
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a second reading DIFFERING from the recorded value. Recorded: gender gap in voting — note: A BLIND second reading by the project on 2026-08-25: the record's own claim type/method/phenomenon were not looked at until every value here was written and substring-verified. Not applied - a person decides. Sampling frame: the 504 staged records carrying no alternatives block, so this never re-measures the 202. All 11 records with 130+ tags were taken as a census and 19 more spread one per discipline across 22 disciplines - the dense non-neuroscience cell is the one the 202 do not contain (inside them, 94-100% of the densest bands are neuroscience; among these 11, one is).,
alternatives.phenomenon0.85the tagger's words
claim_relationsextends → Inglehart (1977) and Norris (1988) predictions that women's relative conservatism would disappear
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claim_relations[0]the tagger's words
claim_relationsbuilds-on → Studlar, McAllister and Hayes (1998)
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claim_relations[1]the tagger's words
concept_edgestraditional gender gap —contrasted-with→ modern gender gap
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strength of the relation: 1
concept_edges[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsANOVA
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also in: ANOVA
content_tags.statistics[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsdifference between group means
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content_tags.statistics[1]the tagger's words
content_tagsordinary least squares regression
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content_tags.statistics[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsstandardized regression coefficient
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content_tags.statistics[3]the tagger's words
content_tagscorrelation
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also in: correlation
content_tags.statistics[4]the tagger's words
content_tagsBy the 1990s women in postindustrial societies voted significantly further to the left than men, and the difference survived a battery of social controls.
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content_tags.findings[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsThe leftward shift did not appear in postcommunist or developing societies, where women were still voting further right than men in the mid-1990s.
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content_tags.findings[1]the tagger's words
content_tagsAveraged by type of society, the voting gap was +.10 (women left) in advanced industrialized democracies, -.08 in postcommunist societies and -.14 in developing societies (women right).
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content_tags.findings[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsIn postindustrial societies the modern gender gap survives structural controls but shrinks once cultural attitudes are added to the model.
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content_tags.findings[3]the tagger's words
content_tagsThe gap is therefore attributed mainly to women's and men's differing value orientations — postmaterialism and support for the women's movement — rather than to differences in their lifestyles.
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content_tags.findings[4]the tagger's words
content_tagsWithin established democracies the gap reverses across age groups: in the youngest cohort women are far to the left of men, while among the over-65s women are more conservative than men.
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content_tags.findings[5]the tagger's words
content_tagsCountry by country, the modern gap held up under structural controls in the United States, France and Germany, but only the United States kept a significant gap after cultural attitudes were controlled.
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content_tags.findings[6]the tagger's words
content_tagsBy the 1990s women were significantly more right wing than men in only six of 57 nations.
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content_tags.findings[7]the tagger's words
content_tagsIn Europe the mean female ideological position moved from 5.61 in 1973 to 5.20 in 1999.
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content_tags.findings[8]the tagger's words
content_tagsThe American gender gap is not exceptional in size; larger ideological gaps appear in Germany, the Netherlands and Denmark.
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content_tags.findings[9]the tagger's words
content_tagstraditional gender gap
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content_tags.definitions[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsmodern gender gap
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content_tags.definitions[1]the tagger's words
content_tagsdevelopmental theory of the gender gap
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content_tags.definitions[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsgender dealignment
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content_tags.definitions[3]the tagger's words
content_tagsideological gap
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content_tags.definitions[4]the tagger's words
content_tagsgender
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also in: gender
content_tags.variables[0]the tagger's words
content_tags10-point left–right voting scale
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content_tags.variables[1]the tagger's words
content_tagscultural attitudes
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content_tags.variables[3]the tagger's words
content_tagsgenerational cohort
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content_tags.variables[4]the tagger's words
content_tagstype of society
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content_tags.variables[5]the tagger's words
content_tagsreligiosity
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also in: religiosity
content_tags.variables[6]the tagger's words
content_tagslabor force participation
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content_tags.variables[7]the tagger's words
content_tagseducation
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also in: education
content_tags.variables[8]the tagger's words
content_tagsage
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also in: age
content_tags.variables[9]the tagger's words
content_tagssocioeconomic status
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content_tags.variables[10]the tagger's words
content_tags+.10 / –.08 / –.14 — Mean gender gap on the 10-point voting scale in advanced industrialized, postcommunist and developing societies respectively (positive = women further left)
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content_tags.quantities[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsr=.46 — Correlation between respondents' left-right ideological self-placement and the expert-coded left-right position of the party they intended to vote for, used as a reliability check on the voting scale
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content_tags.quantities[1]the tagger's words
content_tagssix out of 57 nations — Number of countries in the 1990s where women were significantly more right wing than men on ideological self-placement
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content_tags.quantities[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsfourteen countries — Number of countries in the same comparison where women were significantly more left wing than men
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content_tags.quantities[3]the tagger's words
content_tagssixty societies — Number of societies compared across the three waves of the World Values Surveys
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content_tags.quantities[4]the tagger's words
content_tags5.61 in 1973 to 5.20 in 1999 — Mean ideological self-placement of European women on the 10-point left-right scale at the start and end of the Eurobarometer series
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content_tags.quantities[5]the tagger's words
content_tagssix out of ten nations — Number of advanced industrialized countries (of the ten with a complete set of controls) where women voted significantly further left than men in the uncontrolled model
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content_tags.quantities[6]the tagger's words

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