Evidence that the Great Pacific Garbage Patch is rapidly accumulating plastic

Laurent Lebreton, Boyan Slat, Francesco F. Ferrari, Bruno Sainte-Rose, Jennifer Aitken, Robert Marthouse, Sara Hajbane, Serena Cunsolo, Anna Schwarz, Aurore Levivier, Kim Noble, Pavla Debeljak, Hannah Maral, Rosanna I. Schoeneich-Argent, Roberto Brambini, Júlia Reisser · Scientific Reports · 2018 · environmental-science · 10.1038/s41598-018-22939-w · record lebreton2018-evidence-that-the-great-pacific-ga
tag layer · index · concepts · authors · עברית
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Other fields define these differently the same word, defined another way in another discipline
microplastics 2 fields

Tags on this paper

Every tag the record carries, each linking to every other paper in the corpus that carries it. A tag appears here whether or not its words occur in the article — the spans below are only the ones a sentence in this paper licenses. Of the 11 concept tags on this paper, all 11 are grounded in a quoted sentence. All carry the tagger's gloss of what the term means in this paper, which is not something the article can license.
GPGP microplastics megaplastics windage coefficient ghostnets Manta trawl aerial imagery mass concentration numerical concentration ENSO biofouling an aperture deciding an abundance volume-to-surface ratio as a survival filter windage sorting the debris by where it ends up a moving target averaged into blur R2 SE field-study
Method, as described: 652 Manta and Mega net tows from 18 vessels, 7,298 georeferenced aerial mosaics, depth-integrated concentration corrections, and a Lagrangian transport model calibrated on ENSO/PDO-matched years rather than on a flat multi-year average

Legend

relation to other workclaim_relationshow this paper stands to another: agrees, contradicts, extends, qualifies
claim typeclaim_typethe shape of the claim: existence, mechanism, method, critique, prediction, null
conceptconceptsan idea the paper works with, quoted where the paper uses it
content tagcontent_tagsa finding, definition, quantity, statistic or variable named in the paper
contributioncontributionwhat the paper claims to add
controlcontrolsan experiment run to eliminate a rival explanation
limitationlimitationswhat the paper says its evidence cannot support
mechanismmechanismshow the reported effect is said to come about
methodmethodhow the paper produced its evidence
object of studyobject_of_studywhat the paper is about — the thing it investigates
phenomenonphenomenonthe effect or regularity under study
research questionresearch_questionthe question the paper sets itself
sensesensesa distinct use of a term, quoted where the paper fixes it
transfertransfersa method or concept carried in from another field

The paper

The full text is not reproduced here. This article is not cleared for redistribution, so the page carries the tag layer only. Its evidence sentences are withheld; the grounding status remains with each tag, and the article itself is at https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-22939-w. The reading view exists for the papers whose licence permits it.

Every tag on this page

claim_relations 5 · claim_type 1 · concepts 11 · content_tags 19 · contribution 1 · controls 11 · limitations 10 · mechanisms 4 · method 1 · object_of_study 1 · phenomenon 1 · research_question 1 · senses 7 · transfers 2

This record holds no relations between concepts. A layer is empty when the tagger recorded nothing in it — which is not the same as the paper having nothing to record.

facettagfieldconf.whose words
object_of_studyhow much buoyant plastic is floating in the North Pacific accumulation zone, of what sizes and types, and whether the amount is changing
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object_of_studythe paper's words
research_questionwhether the mass of the Great Pacific Garbage Patch has been underestimated because the instruments used to measure it cannot catch its largest and rarest debris
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research_questionthe paper's words
contribution79 (45-129) thousand tonnes and 1.8 (1.1-3.6) trillion pieces over 1.6 million km2, from 652 net tows plus 311 km2 of aerial imagery calibrated into a time-resolved transport model - four to sixteen times previous estimates, with the method difference and the rival explanation both named
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contributionthe paper's words
claim_typeexistence
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claim_typethe paper's words
phenomenonaccumulation of buoyant plastic in a subtropical gyre, dominated by mass in objects large enough that a plankton net was never going to see them
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phenomenonthe paper's words
methodfield-study
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also in: field-study
methodthe paper's words
mechanismsthe standard instrument is a 90 cm net developed for plankton, covering 0.008 km2 per tow; rare metre-scale objects carry most of the mass and are almost never inside such a sample, so the measured mass is a function of how much sea surface the instrument sees rather than of how much plastic is there
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[0]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsfilms are about 37% of PE and PP waste and are rarely found here; the paper's hypothesis is that thin objects foul, sink or fragment quickly, so the patch contains not the plastic that enters the ocean but the subset able to stay at the surface
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[1]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsparticles displaced by a fraction of wind speed take wider orbits, are more likely to strand and more likely to leave the gyre; low-windage objects stay - which is why the best-fitting model has no wind term and why foam is abundant on Alaskan beaches and negligible in the patch
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[2]0.95the tagger's words
mechanismsthe patch's centre oscillates seasonally in longitude and inter-annually in latitude with ENSO and PDO, so calibrating measurements from one season against a flat multi-year average compares them with a smear rather than with a position - matching the climate indices of the sampling year improved the fit from 0.46 to 0.58
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
mechanisms[3]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsthe four-to-sixteen-fold increase over previous estimates could also be a real increase in pollution rather than a method difference, and the paper says so
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limitations[0]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsthe model predicts millions of tonnes in the region from accepted inputs while the surveys found tens of thousands - a two-orders-of-magnitude gap left open
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[1]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsthe aerial survey deliberately trades false positives for false negatives: observers logged only what they were very confident about, so many possible debris features were never recorded
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limitations[2]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsthe mass estimates are conservative by construction - sampling concentrated inside the boundary, and the outer patch is modelled at over 100k tonnes
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[3]0.95the tagger's words
limitationshigh-windage debris passing through the patch over longer periods is underestimated, because a monthly average spreads it over a larger area
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[4]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsboth trawls were towed at an angle so the sampled width is likely smaller than the net width used in the area calculation, and vessel wake probably affected capture
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limitations[5]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsdebris may have broken during transport to the laboratory, biasing the size distribution
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[6]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsthe degradation rate of synthetic polymers at sea is poorly understood, so how long the standing mass will persist cannot be estimated
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[7]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsplastic levels in the deep water and seafloor below the patch are unknown, so the inventory is of one layer only
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[8]0.95the tagger's words
limitationsthe 28.1% marine-source share is taken from coastal clean-up data and observations at sea may imply much higher losses, so the source attribution may be wrong in either direction
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
limitations[9]0.95the tagger's words
transfersLagrangian particle advection with wave, wind and current forcing, carried from physical oceanography into an inventory of manufactured debris
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
transfers[0]0.95the tagger's words
transfersa dated, located mass release - the 2011 Tohoku tsunami - used as a natural tracer experiment to constrain a transport parameter
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
transfers[1]0.95the tagger's words
controlstwo Manta and two large Neuston trawls towed simultaneously at the same 76 stations, and the paired results used to decide which device quantifies which size band
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: net aperture as the source of the reported size distribution - a single device cannot tell whether the sizes it misses are absent or merely uncaught · outcome: held
controls[0]0.95the tagger's words
controls311 km2 surveyed from the air against 3.9 and 13.6 km2 by Manta and Mega tow, for the size class whose rarity is the whole problem
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: rarity being mistaken for absence - at trawl coverage a >50 cm object is a sampling accident, and the mass it carries cannot be estimated from its absence · outcome: held
controls[1]0.95the tagger's words
controlsan experimental detection algorithm run over all 7,298 mosaics after the human pass, with every algorithm hit re-inspected by an observer before entering the database
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: observer oversight as the only check on the imagery, without letting the algorithm introduce false positives of its own · outcome: partial
controls[2]0.95the tagger's words
controlssix forcing scenarios - current only, and 0.1 to 3% windage - each fitted against the same 277 cells of measured microplastic concentration
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: the chosen transport physics being assumed rather than selected; the regression coefficient falls monotonically as wind forcing is added, so the data picks · outcome: held
controls[3]0.95the tagger's words
controlsthree calibration windows tried in sequence - a flat 12-year average, a season-matched average, and an ENSO/PDO-matched pair of years - with the fit reported for each
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: an averaging window flattering the fit - the season-matched version was WORSE than the flat average and is reported as such before the better one is adopted · outcome: held
controls[4]0.95the tagger's words
controlsmeasured microplastic concentrations sorted by whether they fell inside or outside the modelled 1 kg km-2 contour, as a test of the boundary the model drew
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: a boundary drawn to fit the story - the contrast is measured, 1.8 against 0.3 kg km-2 in the medians, rather than asserted from the map · outcome: held
controls[5]0.95the tagger's words
controlsthe model's windage behaviour checked against the recorded arrival times and object types of 2011 Tohoku tsunami debris on North American and Hawaiian shores
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: the windage parameterisation being unconstrained by any real trajectory - the tsunami provides a dated release of known objects that the model must reproduce · outcome: held
controls[6]0.95the tagger's words
controlsexponential, linear, quadratic and cubic fits to the decadal concentration averages, with the coefficient of determination given for all four
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: the exponential being chosen because it makes the stronger claim - the three alternatives are fitted and their worse fits reported · outcome: held
controls[7]0.95the tagger's words
controlshistorical net tows sorted into inside-boundary, outside-but-subtropical, and rest-of-North-Pacific, with the third category excluded from the comparison
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: equatorial and polar samples deflating the around-the-patch baseline and manufacturing a contrast between inside and outside · outcome: held
controls[8]0.95the tagger's words
controlsdepth-integrated concentrations computed for every trawl station as a function of rising velocity, trawl depth and sea state, to correct for wind-driven mixing
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: buoyant plastic missed by a surface trawl because wind-driven mixing pushed it below the net · outcome (stated by the tagger, no quotation): held
controls[9]0.95the tagger's words
controlsall trawls designed to move away from the vessel so that wake would not affect capture efficiency
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
eliminates: vessel wake disturbing the water the net samples - the trawls were angled away to reduce it, and the paper says the effect remained · outcome (stated by the tagger, no quotation): partial
controls[10]0.95the tagger's words
conceptsGPGP
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: GPGP
concepts[0]0.95the paper's words
conceptsmicroplastics
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: microplastics
concepts[1]0.95the paper's words
conceptsmegaplastics
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: megaplastics
concepts[2]0.95the paper's words
conceptswindage coefficient
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
concepts[3]0.95the paper's words
conceptsghostnets
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: ghostnets
concepts[4]0.95the paper's words
conceptsManta trawl
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: Manta trawl
concepts[5]0.95the paper's words
conceptsaerial imagery
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
concepts[6]0.95the paper's words
conceptsmass concentration
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
concepts[7]0.95the paper's words
conceptsnumerical concentration
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
concepts[8]0.95the paper's words
conceptsENSO
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: ENSO
concepts[9]0.95the paper's words
conceptsbiofouling
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: biofouling
concepts[10]0.95the paper's words
sensesGPGP plastic mass - MEASURED BY NET TRAWLS ALONE: about 4.8 thousand tonnes, from instruments developed to collect neustonic plankton
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[0]0.95the tagger's words
sensesGPGP plastic mass - NET TRAWLS PLUS VESSEL SIGHTINGS: about 21 thousand tonnes, at the cost of high uncertainty in estimating a sighted object's mass
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[1]0.95the tagger's words
sensesGPGP plastic mass - NET TRAWLS PLUS MEGA TRAWLS PLUS 311 km2 OF AERIAL IMAGERY: 79 (45-129) thousand tonnes, this study
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[2]0.95the tagger's words
senseswhat dominates the patch - BY MASS: megaplastics and macroplastics, over three quarters of it, and 86% of the megaplastic mass is fishing nets
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[3]0.95the tagger's words
senseswhat dominates the patch - BY COUNT: microplastics, 94% of 1.8 trillion pieces and only 8% of the mass
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[4]0.95the tagger's words
senseshow much plastic should be there - AS THE MODEL PREDICTS FROM ACCEPTED INPUTS: millions of tonnes
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[5]0.95the tagger's words
senseshow much plastic should be there - AS FOUND IN THE WATER: tens of thousands of tonnes, a two-orders-of-magnitude shortfall the paper leaves open
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[6]0.95the tagger's words
claim_relationsqualifies → the two previous GPGP mass estimates, 4.8 k tonnes from net trawls alone and 21 k tonnes from trawls plus vessel sightings - attributed here mainly to weaker quantification of large debris, with a real increase in pollution named as an alternative
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
claim_relations[0]0.95the tagger's words
claim_relationscritiques → surface trawls developed for neustonic plankton, whose 0.5-1 m aperture cannot represent rarer and larger objects such as bottles, buoys and fishing nets
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
claim_relations[1]0.95the tagger's words
claim_relationscritiques → ocean plastic transport models integrated over several years and calibrated against datasets from different seasons and decades, which misrepresent processes that vary seasonally and inter-annually
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
claim_relations[2]0.95the tagger's words
claim_relationsqualifies → its own inventory - the estimates are conservative on three separate counts, and high-windage debris passing through the region is not captured by a monthly average
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
claim_relations[3]0.95the tagger's words
claim_relationsqualifies → accepted global plastic input budgets, which its own model turns into a prediction two orders of magnitude above what the surveys found
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
claim_relations[4]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsThe GPGP holds an estimated 1.8 (1.1-3.6) trillion plastic pieces weighing 79 (45-129) thousand tonnes.
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsThe estimate is four to sixteen times earlier ones, mainly because of better quantification of macro- and megaplastics.
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[1]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsmicroplastics are 8% of the mass and 94% of the pieces, so which size class dominates the patch depends entirely on the unit
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[2]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsNets, ropes and lines are 52% of GPGP plastic mass, and fishing nets 86% of the megaplastic mass.
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[3]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsmicroplastic concentration inside the patch rose exponentially from 0.4 kg km-2 in the 1970s to 1.23 kg km-2 in 2015, faster than in surrounding waters
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[4]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsthe model predicts millions of tonnes in the region from accepted inputs while the surveys found tens of thousands - two orders of magnitude unaccounted for
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[5]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsplastic films are about 37% of PE and PP waste generation and were rarely found, suggesting only certain shapes persist at the surface
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[6]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsthe best-fitting transport scenario used sea surface current alone, with fit falling monotonically as wind forcing was added
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.findings[7]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsdefined in this study as the 1 kg km-2 modelled microplastic mass concentration contour, covering 1.6 million km2 and holding about 87% of the plastic in the model domain
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: GPGP
content_tags.definitions[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsthe displacement of a particle expressed as a fraction of wind speed 10 m above sea level, tested here at 0, 0.1, 0.5, 1, 2 and 3%
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.definitions[1]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsEVIDENCE CORRECTED (RE-GROUNDED - THE POINTER WAS WRONG, NOT THE CLAIM) · thousand tonnes of floating plastic in the GPGP, mid-point of a 45-129 k range
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
EVIDENCE CORRECTED: RE-GROUNDED - THE POINTER WAS WRONG, NOT THE CLAIM. The old evidence was verbatim, anchored and correctly cut, and it contained NONE of this claim's numbers (129, 45). The paper states the claim in one sentence elsewhere and the tagger did not use it. the project, 2026-08-23: 'WE HAVE SPENT THE DAY VERIFYING THAT QUOTES ARE REAL AND NONE OF IT ASKS WHETHER THEY ARE RELEVANT.' Confirmed by reading the claim, the old span and the candidate together; the candidate carries every number AND the claim's own content words.
content_tags.quantities[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsmicroplastics' share of the GPGP mass - against 94% of its pieces
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.quantities[1]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsmicroplastics' share of the 1.8 trillion pieces - against 8% of the mass
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.quantities[2]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagskg km-2, the mean megaplastic mass concentration - the highest of the four size classes, at 3.5 pieces km-2
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.quantities[3]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagspieces km-2 of microplastics - the highest count of the four size classes, at 2.5 kg km-2
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.quantities[4]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsR2
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: R2
content_tags.statistics[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsSE
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: SE
content_tags.statistics[1]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagsmass concentration
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.variables[0]0.95the tagger's words
content_tagswindage coefficient
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
content_tags.variables[1]0.95the tagger's words

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