The Emotional Arcs of Stories Are Dominated by Six Basic Shapes

Andrew J. Reagan, Lewis Mitchell, Dilan Kiley, Christopher M. Danforth, Peter Sheridan Dodds · EPJ Data Science · 2016 · literature · 10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0093-1 · record reagan2016-emotional-arcs
tag layer · index · concepts · authors · עברית
Where this record's text came from. faceted 2026-08 by reading the locally held text (pdftext); every evidence string verified as an exact substring of that text before merging. The PDF extraction replaced most in-body numerals and citation markers with private-use glyphs, so sentences such as the Vonnegut thesis sentence and 'this result generally agrees with other attempts that use only hierarchical clustering' could not be quoted intact; only spans free of those glyphs were used, which is why the agreement-with-prior-clustering-work relation is not recorded. method is 'computational-text-analysis' (sentiment time series plus SVD, Ward clustering and a self-organizing map); none of the suggested method values covers it. 2026-08-14, 2026-08-15 and 2026-08-16 schema-0.3 passes: every quote verified as an exact substring of the staged text and anchored at merge time; concept terms verified present; every edge endpoint an existing node. Update, 15 September 2026: EXCEPTION, measured with the merge gate's own predicate (Paper.locate): 1 quote(s) on this record are not found as one exact string in the current staged text - limitations[0].evidence. The sentence above does not hold for them as written. Where a row records why - the quote is grounded in another copy of the paper, joins two passages with an ellipsis, or differs from the staged text by extraction noise - that note stays on the row.
The quality of the text these quotes were cut from. symbol-font-not-extractable: 13 '(cid:NNN)' glyph-index markers remain in a staged text of 30,297 characters, where the PDF's embedded font had no ToUnicode map. THE QUOTES ON THIS RECORD ARE THE PAPER'S AND THE STAGED COPY IS THE DAMAGED ONE - which is the opposite of the usual case and is why it went unnoticed: one of its 92 live quotes is not an exact substring of this text, and it was located in it by aligning the quote's WORD SEQUENCE under exactly this damage - the words are there, the characters inside them are not. Not repaired in place: editing the staged text moves every offset after the edit and re-hashes every anchor on the record. Measured at 113aae60fefc3eb1, re-measured unchanged at 54b63482778ddf56.
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How to read this page. The article itself is not reproduced here — this paper is not cleared for redistribution, so what follows is the tag layer alone. The evidence sentences are withheld with the article. The table at the foot lists every tag the record carries; each row names the facet it belongs to, and the whose words column says whether the tag records the paper's own wording or the tagger's sentence about the paper. Every tag links to each other paper in the corpus carrying it. The machine-readable edition of the same thing is the TEI file beside this one, where the tags live in standOff, and the article is at its publisher via the link below. When we have changed our mind. Some entries in the table begin with a word in capitals and the reason for it. EVIDENCE CORRECTED — the finding still stands, but we had quoted the wrong sentence from the paper, and the quotation has been replaced with the right one. RETRACTED — the entry itself was wrong; it stays on the page, marked, with the reason, rather than being deleted. WITHDRAWN AND REPLACED — the entry was wrong, and a corrected version of it appears in the entries below. Each mark carries its own reason, in brackets, because the reasons differ from one entry to the next. An entry we have WITHDRAWN is removed from this page and kept in the record, with its reason. A line reading Audit and a date is a later re-reading of the entry against its whole sentence: DOUBTFUL means it was kept, and the reason says what is loose about it. Quotation marks inside the tagger's sentence. Where a tag is the tagger's own sentence, a phrase in quotation marks inside it is borrowed from the paper — the tagger's wording around it is not. The paper's own sentence is the evidence quote for that row; on this page it is withheld with the article, and the article is at its publisher. Nothing inside quotation marks anywhere on this page is ours: if it is quoted, it is the paper's. Whose words a concept carries. A concept entry records a term the paper itself uses, so the term, the sense given for it, and its evidence are the paper's own words, quoted where the paper fixes them. This is the opposite of a sense entry in the tag table, which is the tagger's sentence about how the paper uses a term. Where a concept entry could not be grounded in the paper's words, the entry says so on its own row.
Other fields define these differently the same word, defined another way in another discipline
sample-size 5 fields · supervised learning 3 fields · sentiment analysis 2 fields · variance 2 fields

Tags on this paper

Every tag the record carries, each linking to every other paper in the corpus that carries it. A tag appears here whether or not its words occur in the article — the spans below are only the ones a sentence in this paper licenses. Of the 26 concept tags on this paper, 24 are grounded in a quoted sentence. 19 carry the tagger's gloss of what the term means in this paper, which is not something the article can license.
emotional arc sentiment analysis narrative structure distant reading plot Hedonometer labMT folkloristics matrix decomposition singular value decomposition supervised learning agglomerative (hierarchical) clustering Ward’s method unsupervised learning self-organizing map neural network Rags to riches Tragedy Riches to rags Man in a hole Icarus Cinderella Oedipus word salad nonsense null model three independent methods are run over the same arcs - matrix decomposition, hierarchical clustering and an unsupervised self-organising map - and the paper states that confirmation comes only from the three supporting each other the emotional arc is separated from the plot by construction: it is what the words invoke, and the paper says the same arc can arise from very different plots the paper states plainly that the dictionary method it relies on performs WORSE THAN RANDOM on an individual sentence, which is why the instrument is never applied at sentence level the arcs are mean-centred before decomposition so that the first mode is not spent on the average sentiment or on the positivity bias of language clusters are built by Ward's method, which the paper describes as proceeding by minimising variance between clusters conflation of several arcs in one book is limited by restricting the corpus to shorter books, a filter chosen for that purpose emotional arcs stories narrative six basic shapes digital humanities Project Gutenberg narratology sentiment downloads mean average of sample-size variance corpus-analysis
Method, as described: computational-text-analysis

Legend

relation to other workclaim_relationshow this paper stands to another: agrees, contradicts, extends, qualifies
claim typeclaim_typethe shape of the claim: existence, mechanism, method, critique, prediction, null
concept edgeconcept_edgesan asserted relation between two concepts, with the sentence asserting it
conceptconceptsan idea the paper works with, quoted where the paper uses it
content tagcontent_tagsa finding, definition, quantity, statistic or variable named in the paper
controlcontrolsan experiment run to eliminate a rival explanation
limitationlimitationswhat the paper says its evidence cannot support
mechanismmechanismshow the reported effect is said to come about
methodmethodhow the paper produced its evidence
phenomenonphenomenonthe effect or regularity under study
sensesensesa distinct use of a term, quoted where the paper fixes it
transfertransfersa method or concept carried in from another field

The paper

The full text is not reproduced here. This article is not cleared for redistribution, so the page carries the tag layer only. Its evidence sentences are withheld; the grounding status remains with each tag, and the article itself is at https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0093-1. The reading view exists for the papers whose licence permits it.

Every tag on this page

claim_relations 2 · claim_type 1 · concept_edges 3 · concepts 24 · content_tags 18 · controls 1 · limitations 7 · mechanisms 6 · method 1 · phenomenon 1 · senses 22 · transfers 1

Relations on this page carry a quotation for the claim. Where a relation was separately evidenced — and so tested against the vocabulary for its type — the row says so; 1 of 3 relations here carries that mark. The rest are the tagger’s reading of the sentence quoted beside them.

facettagfieldconf.whose words
claim_typeexistence
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claim_typethe paper's words
phenomenonemotional arcs of stories
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phenomenonthe paper's words
methodcorpus-analysis
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methodthe paper's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[0]0.9the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[1]0.9the tagger's words
mechanismsthe sliding-window construction itself is described in a different sentence and in the Figure 1 caption, not in this span; the window size is unquotable here because the extraction stores its digits as private-use glyphs
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mechanisms[2]0.9the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[3]0.9the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[4]0.9the tagger's words
mechanismsmechanisms
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mechanisms[5]0.9the tagger's words
limitationsSuccess is measured only by Project Gutenberg download counts.
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what this limits: the success analysis only: DOWNLOADS ARE ONLY A ROUGH PROXY FOR SUCCESS
limitations[1]the tagger's words
limitationsThe sliding-window method cannot detect briefly mentioned emotional events.
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what this limits: the resolution of every arc: OUR METHOD DOES NOT PICK UP EMOTIONAL MOMENTS DISCUSSED BRIEFLY, PERHAPS IN ONE PARAGRAPH OR SENTENCE (E.G., THE FIRST KISS OF HARRY AND GINNY)
limitations[2]the tagger's words
limitationsAn emotional arc is not the plot and does not identify it.
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what this limits: any narrative reading of the arcs: an emotional arc is not the plot and does not identify it
limitations[3]the tagger's words
limitationsOnly shorter books were analysed, to avoid conflating several core arcs.
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what this limits: the corpus the arcs were derived from: TO LIMIT THE CONFLATION OF MULTIPLE CORE EMOTIONAL ARCS, WE RESTRICT OUR ANALYSIS TO SHORTER BOOKS
limitations[4]the tagger's words
limitationsThe sentiment tool is stated to perform worse than random on individual sentences, and is made usable only by averaging over a rolling window.
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what this limits: any sentence-level or short-passage reading of these sentiment scores: the authors state that dictionary-based sentiment methods usually perform worse than random on individual sentences, and the arcs are built from a rolling average instead
limitations[5]1.0the tagger's words
limitationsThe result is what three different methods agree on; the paper says no single tool establishes it.
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what this limits: the six-arc finding: it is confirmed only by considering the results of each tool in support of the others - a matrix decomposition, a hierarchical clustering and an unsupervised map - so a citation of 'six basic shapes' that drops the three-method agreement drops the evidence
limitations[6]1.0the tagger's words
limitationsTwo of the six decomposition modes are retained for completeness and are stated not to match the archetypes the other methods produce.
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what this limits: the six SVD modes as six arcs: the paper says the high-frequency modes contribute little variance and do not align with the core archetypes recovered by the other methods, and are included only for completeness
limitations[7]1.0the tagger's words
transferssentiment analysis applied to works of fiction to extract their emotional arcs
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transfers[0]the tagger's words
controlsevery method re-run at four different DOWNLOAD-COUNT thresholds. THE NUMERALS SURVIVE EXTRACTION AS PRIVATE-USE-AREA GLYPHS (U+F639, U+F63C ...) rather than digits, so the thresholds are present in the text and unreadable; they are quoted as they stand and not guessed
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eliminates: the popularity cut-off as the source of the emotional-arc findings - a corpus filtered by downloads is a corpus of what people read, and an arc shape could be a property of the filter rather than of literature · outcome: held
controls[0]0.9the tagger's words
conceptsemotional arc
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also in: emotional arc
concepts[0]the paper's words
conceptssentiment analysis
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concepts[1]the paper's words
conceptsplot
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also in: plot
concepts[4]the paper's words
conceptsHedonometer
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also in: Hedonometer
concepts[5]the paper's words
conceptslabMT
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also in: labMT
concepts[6]the paper's words
conceptsfolkloristics
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also in: folkloristics
concepts[7]0.95the paper's words
conceptsmatrix decomposition
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concepts[8]0.95the paper's words
conceptssingular value decomposition
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concepts[9]0.95the paper's words
conceptssupervised learning
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concepts[10]0.95the paper's words
conceptsagglomerative (hierarchical) clustering
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concepts[11]0.95the paper's words
conceptsWard’s method
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concepts[12]0.95the paper's words
conceptsunsupervised learning
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concepts[13]0.95the paper's words
conceptsself-organizing map
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concepts[14]0.95the paper's words
conceptsneural network
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concepts[15]0.95the paper's words
conceptsRags to riches
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concepts[16]0.95the paper's words
conceptsTragedy
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also in: Tragedy
concepts[17]0.95the paper's words
conceptsRiches to rags
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concepts[18]0.95the paper's words
conceptsMan in a hole
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also in: Man in a hole
concepts[19]0.95the paper's words
conceptsIcarus
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also in: Icarus
concepts[20]0.95the paper's words
conceptsCinderella
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also in: Cinderella
concepts[21]0.95the paper's words
conceptsOedipus
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
also in: Oedipus
concepts[22]0.95the paper's words
conceptsword salad
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also in: word salad
concepts[23]0.95the paper's words
conceptsnonsense
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also in: nonsense
concepts[24]0.95the paper's words
conceptsnull model
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also in: null model
concepts[25]0.95the paper's words
sensesemotional arc - NOT THE PLOT, and the paper names the conflation as the misunderstanding that drew criticism from the digital humanities community: the same falling arc can come from very different plots
Quotation withheld — this record is not cleared for redistribution. The sentence is in the paper at the link above.
senses[0]1.0the tagger's words
sensesthe six arcs - AS THE INTERSECTION OF THREE PROCEDURES: modes of a matrix decomposition, clusters from Ward's algorithm, and clusters from an unsupervised map; six is what survives all three, not what any one of them returns
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senses[1]1.0the tagger's words
sensessentiment - AS A WINDOW AVERAGE: the reported quantity is the score of a sliding fixed-size window, never of a sentence, which is what makes the underlying dictionary usable at all
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senses[2]1.0the tagger's words
sensesfolkloristics - the study of society and culture through literary analysis
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senses[3]0.95the tagger's words
sensesmatrix decomposition - the SVD branch of the paper's three-tool analysis
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senses[4]0.95the tagger's words
sensessingular value decomposition - SVD used for matrix decomposition of emotional arcs
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senses[5]0.95the tagger's words
sensessupervised learning - the paper's label for agglomerative clustering with Ward's method
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senses[6]0.95the tagger's words
sensesagglomerative hierarchical clustering - the supervised analysis performed with Ward's method
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senses[7]0.95the tagger's words
sensesWard's method - the method used in the agglomerative hierarchical clustering branch
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senses[8]0.95the tagger's words
sensesunsupervised learning - the paper's label for the self-organizing-map analysis
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senses[9]0.95the tagger's words
sensesself-organizing map - SOM, the neural-network branch of the unsupervised analysis
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senses[10]0.95the tagger's words
sensesneural network - the class to which the self-organizing map is assigned
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senses[11]0.95the tagger's words
sensesRags to riches - rise
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senses[12]0.95the tagger's words
sensesTragedy - fall, also called Riches to rags
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senses[13]0.95the tagger's words
sensesRiches to rags - the alternative label for the falling Tragedy arc
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senses[14]0.95the tagger's words
sensesMan in a hole - fall then rise
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senses[15]0.95the tagger's words
sensesIcarus - rise then fall
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senses[16]0.95the tagger's words
sensesCinderella - rise, fall, then rise
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senses[17]0.95the tagger's words
sensesOedipus - fall, rise, then fall
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senses[18]0.95the tagger's words
sensesword salad - a null story version without coherent plot or emotional arc
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senses[19]0.95the tagger's words
sensesnonsense - a null story version without coherent plot or emotional arc
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senses[20]0.95the tagger's words
sensesnull model - a written-story comparison lacking coherent plot or structure
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senses[21]0.95the tagger's words
claim_relationsbuilds-on → sentiment analysis (from NLP)
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claim_relations[0]the tagger's words
claim_relationsbuilds-on → Kurt Vonnegut's claim that the shapes of stories can be computed
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claim_relations[1]the tagger's words
concept_edgesemotional arc —distinct-from→ plot
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strength of the relation: 1
also in: emotional arc · plot
concept_edges[0]the tagger's words
concept_edgesemotional arc —operationalised-as→ Hedonometer
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strength of the relation: 1
concept_edges[1]the tagger's words
concept_edgesself-organizing map —is-a→ neural network
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the relation itself is separately evidenced · strength of the relation: 1 · note: The paper explicitly calls SOM a type of neural network.
concept_edges[2]0.95the tagger's words
content_tags1,327 — filtered Project Gutenberg fiction corpus
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content_tags.quantities[0]the tagger's words
content_tags6 — basic emotional-arc shapes found
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content_tags.quantities[1]the tagger's words
content_tags3 — independent techniques used to confirm the arcs
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about this quote: QUOTE RECOVERED FROM THE PAPER'S OWN CHARACTERS. The recorded quote was LETTERS-ONLY IDENTICAL to this stretch of the staged text but not an exact substring of it - spaces, hyphens, ligature glyphs or mathematical operators differed, so it could never anchor. This is the file's own text between the same two letters: not produced by a rule about the damage, copied out of the file. Round-trip checked (the recovered span is letters-only equal to the original) and length-checked. The text as originally recorded is kept in evidence as extracted. The quote was later extended to the end of the list it begins; the recovered stretch is kept as the earlier quote.
content_tags.quantities[2]the tagger's words
content_tagssix core emotional arcs are the building blocks of story trajectories
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content_tags.findings[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsparticular emotional arcs enjoy greater download success
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content_tags.findings[1]the tagger's words
content_tagsthe findings are strengthened by separately applying matrix decomposition
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about this quote: QUOTE RECOVERED FROM THE PAPER'S OWN CHARACTERS. The recorded quote was LETTERS-ONLY IDENTICAL to this stretch of the staged text but not an exact substring of it - spaces, hyphens, ligature glyphs or mathematical operators differed, so it could never anchor. This is the file's own text between the same two letters: not produced by a rule about the damage, copied out of the file. Round-trip checked (the recovered span is letters-only equal to the original) and length-checked. The text as originally recorded is kept in evidence as extracted.
content_tags.findings[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsthe emotional arc is distinct from the plot
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content_tags.findings[3]the tagger's words
content_tagsemotional arc
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also in: emotional arc
content_tags.variables[0]the tagger's words
content_tagssentiment
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also in: sentiment
content_tags.variables[1]the tagger's words
content_tagsdownloads
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also in: downloads
content_tags.variables[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsplot
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also in: plot
content_tags.variables[3]the tagger's words
content_tagsemotional arc
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also in: emotional arc
content_tags.definitions[0]the tagger's words
content_tagsnarratology
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also in: narratology
content_tags.definitions[1]the tagger's words
content_tagssentiment analysis
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content_tags.definitions[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsplot
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also in: plot
content_tags.definitions[3]the tagger's words
content_tagsmean
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also in: mean
content_tags.statistics[0]the tagger's words
content_tagssample-size
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about this quote: NOT REPAIRED, AND REVERTED AFTER IT WAS. This quote is verbatim in the web page we fetched and carries a real minus sign in '2( N − 1)'. The grounding copy has an en dash there. A repair that normalised dashes matched the two and replaced the correct character with the poorer extraction's. The quote stays as the paper set it and stays unanchorable against the grounding copy, which is the honest state - the project, 2026-08-23 17:35: the quotes are right, the staging is what disagrees.
also in: sample-size
content_tags.statistics[2]the tagger's words
content_tagsvariance
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also in: variance
content_tags.statistics[3]the tagger's words

Interpretive choices

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